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Fantasy Forecast: Week 10

Tom Brady

While New England hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard in recent weeks, Brady’s fantasy production has been steady but unspectacular. Don’t expect things to change this week, as the Jets’ pass defense should hold him well under 300 yards passing. Anything more than 2 TDs would be a mild surprise.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis/Danny Woodhead/Kevin Faulk

The Law Firm steamrolled the Jets for 140+ yards in Week 5, and the Pats are likely to feature the running game again as they face a vulnerable New York front seven. He won’t exceed those totals, but expecting somewhere close to 80-100 yards and a 50-50 shot at a score is reasonable. Woodhead and Faulk have mainly been used in pass protection and as safety valves. If Faulk is healthy, expect him to steal the majority of Woodhead’s touches out of the backfield.

Wes Welker/Deion Branch

Welker racked up 5 catches for 124 yards while matched up against Revis in Week 5. Defenses are keying on Welker, and I’d expect him to be limited to 5-6 catches and less than 100 yards, with a score unlikely. Branch roasted Cromartie for 7 catches and a score the first time around, and I wouldn’t be afraid to use him as a flex this week with a 4-5 catch, 60-70 yard outing a distinct possibility.

Rob Gronkowski/Aaron Hernandez

It’s impossible to bench either of these guys, as they combined for 13 targets in the first contest against the Jets and have accounted for more than a third of New England’s passing offense this year. Because Gronkowski is the better run blocker, he should be on the field more. I think he is a stone-cold lock for 5+ catches and 60+ yards with a score very likely. Hernandez should come in around 4-50-1 as well.

Stephen Gostkowski

2 FGs, 3-4 XPs.

New England Defense/Special Teams

This unit still barely merits consideration in most leagues. The Jets allow roughly two sacks and a turnover per game, and I’d expect New England to be right around those numbers. I have a weird feeling the Pats will end up scoring on defense or special teams, but that is just a wild hunch that is not really backed up by any statistical analysis.