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Rangers/Senators 2nd Round Preview

This is exactly why we wanted the Rangers in the Atlantic Division bracket. The Blueshirts are now in position to advance to the Eastern Conference Final without having to face either Washington or Pittsburgh. While Ottawa isn’t a pushover by any stretch of the imagination, I’m pretty sure every Rangers fan is ecstatic with the current postseason scenario.

While I don’t expect this series to take on the mean streak we witnessed against Montreal, the Rangers may again find it difficult to generate transition offense as Ottawa is known for being able to stifle opponents attacking with speed through the neutral zone.

If the Rangers are able to get pucks deep, establish a forecheck and cause turnovers they may be able to loosen the Senators trap game in order to implement Alain Vigneault’s fast paced style.

So let’s take a look at this second round series which matches the Rangers and Senators for the first time in the postseason since 2012.

Reunion

Not sure if you remember, but Derick Brassard is pretty good in the playoffs.

And so far he’s been able to replicate his playoff magic in Ottawa…

Brassard lives for the spotlight. The bigger the moment, the more he thrives. And now that he has the opportunity to put away his former employer, expect big things from Zuccarello’s BFF.

That is, of course, unless Brassard decides to finally choke on the big stage.

Meanwhile, after struggling to get his feet underneath him to start this postseason, the Rangers return in the Brassard trade is doing his best to force Rangers fans to forget “Big Game Brass”…

I can’t imagine Zibanejad isn’t coming into this series with a chip on his shoulder looking to prove that his former team was premature in giving up on him so early…

Erik The Great

How good is Erik Karlsson? The guy just dominated the Boston Bruins (6 assists), then after the series was over announced he was playing with two hairline fractures in his foot.

While Karlsson isn’t your prototypical shutdown defenseman, the two-time Norris Trophy winner is so effective defensively because he always has the puck. And when he does, you better be on your toes because he’ll drop one of these on you without thinking twice…

Similar to the Rangers wanting to stay out of the box against Montreal with Weber looming at the point, the same can be said about Ottawa and Karlsson…

The Ying to Karlsson’s Yang on the Ottawa’s defense is Dion Phaneuf, who has been known to throw a hard hit every once in awhile. Just ask Michael Sauer (sorry, Rangers fans)…

Having said that, the more Phaneuf is on the ice (averaged 25:42 per game in the first round) the more advantageous it is for the Rangers, who should be able to utilize their speed against the slow footed defenseman.

The Senators mostly rely on their top two defensive pairs of Karlsson/Marc Methot and Phaneuf/Cody Ceci, so if the Rangers continue to roll four lines of skill they should be able to expose a very average bottom third of Ottawa’s blueline.

Dan The Man

After proving his detractors wrong against Montreal, the question is: Does Dan Girardi have anything left in his bag of tricks for an encore?

While Girardi finally being healthy was a huge reason for his resurrection in Round One, Montreal deciding to dress a bigger, slower lineup was an undeniable benefit to the Rangers alternate captain.

Ottawa will never be confused for the Canadian Olympic Speed Skating team, but they do have quickness up front that could cause problems for Girardi.

However, if McDonagh can continue his beast mode performance of the first round, it won’t matter if Girardi is suspended in a perpetual snow angel making state the entire series, Ottawa will have a tough time offensively.

Besides Brassard, the Rangers need to keep an eye on Bobby Ryan who turned back the clock to his Anaheim days with 4g, 3a in the first round against Boston after producing just 13g, 12a in 62 games this season. Sure, players such as Mike Hoffman (61 points), Kyle Turris (55 points) and Mark Stone (54 points) had much better offensive numbers this season, but in the playoffs you always have to worry about the hot hand and no forward is hotter than Ryan.

Meanwhile, the return of Clarke MacArthur to begin the playoffs after missing the last two seasons due to concussion symptoms, was akin to the Senators having their own personal free agency period at the close of the regular season. And MacArthur has paid immediate dividends as he scored the series clinching goal in overtime of Game 6 to send Ottawa into the 2nd Round.

Advantage Hank?

After such a memorable goaltending showdown between Lundqvist and Price in the first round, I can understand the letdown of this goaltending matchup. But don’t sleep on Craig Anderson. Not only does he similarly own the Rangers the way Price has during his career (10-5-3, 1.74 GAA, .944 sv% and 4 shutouts), he’s also playing with emotion as he’s missed portions of the season while caring for his wife who is battling cancer. Never underestimate the power of motivation triggered by an ailing loved one.

Anderson, who was 4-2 with a 1.96 GAA, .921 sv% & 1 shutout vs. Boston in the 1st round, is an opposing goaltender who you most definitely underestimate going into the series, but by Game 4 you’re left wondering why your team can’t beat him. This is confirmed by his .931 sv% in 33 playoff games. To put that number in perspective, Lundqvist has a career .923 sv% in the postseason. He’s legit, as the Rangers learned in their 2012 postseason matchup when Anderson posted a 2.01 GAA, .933 sv% and 1 shutout…

Bad Blood?

While there’s very few holdovers from the 2012 playoff meeting, if you remember, that series got ugly and it got ugly fast. It all started with Brian Boyle roughing up a young Erik Karlsson in Game 1. Then all hell broke loose in Game 2 as the Senators dressed Matt Carkner to exact revenge…

That scrum led to one of the great all-time Rangers moments: The Dubinsky Gatorade Slam.

Later in that same game, Chris Neill challenged Brian Boyle and it was officially on.

With the series tied at 2-2, Neill became Public Enemy #1 with this predatory hit on Boyle that knocked him out of the series with a concussion…

To add insult to injury, the Senators went on to win Game 5. However, the Rangers would get the last laugh as they not only overcame the 3-2 series deficit to advance, but they pounded Neill for the final two games…

As far as the 2017 version of this matchup, with Neill now a regular press box resident in Ottawa and Carkner likely a used car salesman, I don’t anticipate this level of fireworks. But hey, with the Senators employing Alex Burrows, you never know.

Quick Thoughts

After Kreider’s disasterous first round performance, hopefully the sight of Ottawa will conjure up memories of his first NHL goal during the 2012 postseason to reignite his mojo.

Ottawa killed just 11 of Boston’s 16 power play chances in Round 1, so the Rangers struggling extra man units should have significant opportunity to get back on track.

Ottawa head coach Guy Boucher is very strategic, so expect a solid game plan focusing on stalling the Rangers fast paced offense, while exposing their slow paced defense.

Isn’t it funny how the expectations for the Rangers have been completely turned upside down going into this series. After exceeding low fan aspirations all year long, suddenly expectations have soared so significantly that losing to the inferior (on paper) Senators would surely turn this overachieving season into a huge disappointment. A series win? Then the Rangers are back to playing with house money in the Eastern Conference Final and receiving all the accolaides that come with it. Expectations, man. Expectations.

Prediction: Rangers in 5

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15 thoughts on “Rangers/Senators 2nd Round Preview

  1. Wow! Relived a whole series in 10 minutes. Awesome post! Brought back a lot of memories, especially one close game (don’t remember which), that I could barely move my limbs I was so nervous. Had to pause the TV and take a walk outside.
    I’m hoping, if we get past Ottowa, Washington and Pittsburgh will feel like they have played the de facto ECF already and the team that emerges will experience a letdown.

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  2. Great wrote up.. thanks for the detail and putting it all in perspective. The only things by I might debate is Carey Price. While on paper he looked like a juggernaut in this series what I saw were lots of long shots and easy saves on low percentage shots with high quality chances few and far between through the tight defensive checking..and a few goals getting past him that a world class goalie should never let slide through. Just my opinion but honestly I think Anderson’s going to be at least as good, This team is good defensively in the nietral zone but once we break them down they’re not like Montreal in their own end so I’m expecting more quality scoring chances to put Anderson more to the test then what we did against Price. Also Ottawa is better offensively so we’ll get a better look at how good our D really is. At the end of it all a team has to be both good and lucky to hoist the cup. Though I’m having a hard time picturing anyone beating the Pens luck of the draw of this terrible playoff system has given us the best opportunity to win that we could possibly ask for while the 2 best teams in the league go at it in the 2nd round ( absurd as that is and to add dumb assness to Tom Foolery they have both games playing at the same time Thursday , as if they are wishing to diminish viewership… geniuses) but anyway hopefully Wash-Pitts will burn each other out. Man we’ve been handed a huge gift. We got to make it count. Predicting 6 worked last series and though Montreal finished 1st in their division for a reason I’m not going to underestimate these guys either and i don’t think it will be easy. Rangers in 6.

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    1. Anderson is very under-rated. Ottawa’s speed and trap is going to be an issue. But Rangers are just the better team.

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  3. I’m with ya on Rangers in 5, it’s not looking past the Sens, they deserve to be where they are after all. More it’s an appreciation of the last three games by the Rangers and how they’re getting it done without any real contributions from 21, 20, 10. If those guys start producing, and Girardi’s Ponce De Leon cocktail doesn’t run out, then anything’s possible.

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    1. Additionally, Fast, Lindberg and Smith have come out form the shadows to be difference makers as well. I know many people say we’re doomed without an Ovi-class player, but the key to this NYR squad has been balanced production across the board. Sure, a 50 goal scorer is great, but when all of your forwards average double digit goals, that adds up real quick … and is indefensible.

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