2017 All-Value Team: Baseball's Top Pre-Arb Players at Each Position

2017 All-Value Team: Baseball's Top Pre-Arb Players at Each Position

Chin Music Baseball

2017 All-Value Team: Baseball's Top Pre-Arb Players at Each Position

By

When it comes to the baseball diamond, we hear a ton about the ballplayers who are taking home the most money — whether it’s over the life of a certain contract or a singular season. After all, if we put together a lineup with the highest-paid players at each position, it’d be pretty expensive.

But with the youth movement that’s happening throughout baseball, there are a bunch of players providing top-tier production for just a fraction of the price.

Some teams have already locked up their young talent to extensions — Rougned Odor‘s deal with the Texas Rangers is the latest example — yet there are still plenty stuck in between while waiting to become eligible for arbitration. Until that happens, organizations can get an incredible deal when a player’s salary is compared to their actual on-field production.

With that in mind, we set out to find the game’s best pre-arbitration players at each position. The only criteria: they can’t be eligible for arbitration yet or be signed to a long-term extension. So, is this list somewhat subjective? Yes, it is.

Some 2017 contract figures haven’t been released yet, but we can at least make some rough estimates on what they will be.

Without further adieu, here is the 2017 All-Value Team (all available salary info provided courtesy of Spotrac).

Catcher: Gary Sanchez, New York Yankees

2017 Salary: N/A

It wouldn’t have been right if Gary Sanchez wasn’t here — he did go on a two-month tear and produced one of the most insane months we’ve seen this decade. However, with such a huge performance comes huge expectations this season — especially since Brian McCann is no longer in New York.

There were 111 players who collected at least 20 home runs in 2016. Of those, nobody did it in as few plate appearances as Sanchez (229), and nobody had a higher OPS (1.032).

As far as I can tell, the terms of his contract haven’t been released, but after making the MLB minimum ($507,500) for the short time he was in the bigs, one can imagine he’ll be making close to the $535,000 minimum for 2017, as River Ave. Blues notes.

First Base: Greg Bird, New York Yankees

2017 Salary: $545,500

Yes, Greg Bird hasn’t played in an MLB game since taking the league by storm with 178 impressive plate appearances in 2015, but he’s primed to make a huge impact this year.

Since the Yankees brought in Chris Carter right before Spring Training, it was clear Bird would have to earn his starting job, and boy has he ever. All he’s done through 47 Grapefruit League at-bats is slash .447/.527/1.085 with 7 homers and 13 RBI. They’re Spring Training stats, but damn, they’re impressive.

His strikeout rate nearly hit 30% in 2015, but he also paired that with a solid 10.7% walk rate. And after missing all of 2016 due to injury, his rates dropped to 21.8% and rose to 15.4% in the Arizona Fall League, respectively. It’s not big league pitching, but his approach looks sound when we combine that with what he’s done so far this spring.

Second Base: Javier Baez, Chicago Cubs

2017 Salary: $609,000

Up until this weekend, I had Odor holding down this spot, but his new deal made him ineligible. Javier Baez doesn’t boast the kind of power his fellow second baseman has flashed, but he more than makes up for it with the glove.

Last season, four primary second baseman posted at least 11 defensive runs saved: Dustin Pedroia (12), Ian Kinsler (12), Robinson Cano (11) and Baez (11). Of this group, Baez was the only one to not play the position for at least 1,200 innings. In fact, he manned second base for just 383 innings in 2016.

Shortstop: Francisco Lindor, Cleveland Indians

2017 Salary: $579,300

Given all the elite young talent at shortstop, this was admittedly the hardest position to choose a player for.

However, I went with Francisco Lindor because he does everything well. His career 118 wRC+ shows he’s certainly not a liability on offense, and he’s flashed legitimate 20-homer, 20-steal potential.

What put him over the edge for me was his elite defense — his 27 defensive runs saved since 2015 is fifth-best among qualified shortstops, while his 20.2 UZR/150 is only bested by Andrelton Simmons (20.5).

Third Base: Kris Bryant, Chicago Cubs

2017 Salary: $1.05 million

Shortstop was really hard, but third base certainly wasn’t.

Kris Bryant is now the highest-paid second-year player in baseball history, and for good reason. Not only did he help the Cubs win the World Series while winning NL MVP honors, the 2016 season capped an incredible four-year run.

Like Lindor, Bryant also debuted in 2015. Since making landfall at Wrigley, the third baseman has posted an fWAR of 15.0. Only Mike Trout (18.3) and Josh Donaldson (16.3) have been better based on that metric.

Left Field: Adam Duvall, Cincinnati Reds

2017 Salary: $577,500

Adam Duvall wasn’t even an everyday player for the Reds to start last season, yet he posted a 33-homer, 103-RBI campaign in 608 plate appearances. While it’s encouraging that he’s still with Cincinnati (and playing home games at Great American Ballpark), his numbers show he could keep this up.

His 17.8% homer-to-fly-ball ratio is solid, but not very high when considering he paired that with a 46.7% fly-ball rate and 38.9% hard-hit rate. With him projected to hit cleanup, he should get plenty of RBI opportunities with guys like Billy Hamilton and Joey Votto ahead of him in the order.

Center Field: Keon Broxton, Milwaukee Brewers

2017 Salary: N/A

Despite fracturing his wrist trying to make a catch, Keon Broxton had done enough to turn some heads in a 75-game and 244-plate-appearance sample as a rookie in 2016. He posted a 109 wRC+ with a .784 OPS, .188 ISO and 23 stolen bases to go along with an eye-popping 43.3% hard-hit rate.

The 36.1% strikeout rate wasn’t great, but his 14.8% walk rate made it a little better. Could we be in store for an even better performance this year, though?

He found a mechanical flaw in his swing this winter, and it’s translated to a 1.039 OPS through 59 plate appearances this spring. He’s still striking out a bit, but his K-rate has dropped to 27.1% in this sample. So, progress is certainly being made, and after just barely making over the MLB minimum, he’s setting up to once again be a huge value.

Right Field: Mookie Betts, Boston Red Sox

2017 Salary: $950,000

Mookie Betts couldn’t wrangle the AL MVP award away from Trout in 2016, but he’s cemented himself as one of the game’s best all-around players. There were 17 hitters last season who collected 30-plus homers while posting a strikeout rate of 20% or below.

Adrian Beltre was the only one to have a strikeout rate (10.3%) lower than Betts’ 11.0%. He also enjoyed this power surge despite watching his fly-ball rate drop from 42.4% in 2015 to 39.4% last year.

Designated Hitter: Ryon Healy, Oakland Athletics

2017 Salary: N/A

Ryon Healy only spent 283 plate appearances in the big leagues during 2016, but he certainly made an impact. Despite his limitations with the glove, he produced a 1.1 fWAR thanks to a 134 wRC+.

With Trevor Plouffe joining the organization, Healy will be moving across the diamond to get some time in at first base and designated hitter, which is best for his value. Even in such a small sample size last season, Healy was worth $9.2 million to the Athletics, despite earning just $507,500.

Starting Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard, New York Mets

2017 Salary: $605,500

The Mets and Noah Syndergaard couldn’t come to terms on a contract, but even if Thor got what he was looking for in negotiations, it’d still be a supreme bargain.

His 6.5 fWAR led all qualified pitchers last season, while his 2.30 FIP was tied for the best among qualified starters and his 10.64 strikeouts per nine innings was fourth best. The right-hander’s first full big league campaign was worth $51.7 million to the Mets.

And obviously, any conversation about Syndergaard needs to include this bit about his velocity: no starter threw their fastball harder than him (97.9 mph). He also had the fastest average velocity on his slider, which came in at 90.8 mph.

Closer: Edwin Diaz, Seattle Mariners

2017 Salary: N/A

Edwin Diaz only has 51.2 big league innings under his belt, but he already has a firm grasp on the Mariners’ closer job. That’s what happens when you produce a 2.79 ERA, 2.04 FIP and a K/9 of 15.33 as a rookie.

He earned the big-league minimum last year upon getting called up and will probably be around the $535,000 minimum this season, but was worth $15.1 million to Seattle in 2016. Diaz is a fastball-slider pitcher, and he produced a swinging-strike rate of 18.1% thanks to that 97.1 mph heater and 86.7 mph breaking ball.

Conclusion

We can’t necessarily get an accurate total with regard to salary among these players since all the information hasn’t been released just yet. However, if we assume the ones we don’t have concrete numbers for are at the $535,000 minimum for 2017, this group of 11 players will earn approximately $7.056 million this season.

That’s incredible to think about on its own, but even more incredible when considering the highest-paid players at each position this year will earn nearly $270 million as a group.

Based on past production, the above players look to be huge bargains heading into the regular season. Will they keep it up in 2017 or will someone come out of nowhere to knock them out of the (admittedly arbitrary) top spot?


About Matt Musico

Matt Musico currently manages Chin Music Baseball, contributes to The Sports Daily and is also an editor for numberFire. He has written for FanDuel Insider and Bleacher Report in the past. He’s a lover of all baseball, especially the Mets.

Email Twitter


Stream Live Sports With ESPN+

ESPN+ Free Trial!

More Sports

More Chin Music Baseball
Home