Name: Gilbert Burns
Opponent: Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Odds: +123 (bet $100 to win $123)
Olivier Aubin-Mercier has been tabbed by a lot as a future star. This is because of a combination of reasons: his age, his charisma and his talent. This hype though, has swayed the line away from where it should be.
Aubin-Mercier is somewhat dependent on being able to get his opponent out of there. In his 14 career fights, he has only two wins by decision and is 2-3 overall in decision fights in the UFC.
Burns, apart from his last fight against Dan Hooker, has never been finished inside the distance. That record comes in 16 career fights.
When you take this into consideration and note that Burns’s grappling is going to neutralize Aubin-Mercier’s biggest weapon, the odds look pretty juicy.
Earnings (based on $100 bet/event): $923
Return on Investment: 27%