Projecting biggest risers, fallers for MLB starting rotations in 2019

Projecting biggest risers, fallers for MLB starting rotations in 2019

Chin Music Baseball

Projecting biggest risers, fallers for MLB starting rotations in 2019

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Washington Nationals (+11)

The Nationals have also rebuilt their rotation, but in a much different way. They did ship Roark to Cincinnati, but have also added Patrick Corbin on a monster deal, along with Anibal Sanchez and Jeremy Hellickson on much smaller deals (although Hellickson was technically re-signed).

As one can imagine, Washington’s rotation production is expected to be incredibly top-heavy. Max Scherzer (5.8), Corbin (3.5), and Stephen Strasburg (3.1) are currently projected to generate a smidge over 77.0% of total rotation fWAR.

Sanchez could end up being a solid value pickup if his rebound performance with the Atlanta Braves is sustainable. Through 136.2 innings in ’18, he produced a 2.83 ERA and 2.4 fWAR. In his previous three seasons with the Detroit Tigers (415.2 innings), he posted a combined ERA of 5.67 with just 2.2 fWAR.

While the veteran right-hander’s 79.4% strand rate was a career high, it was encouraging to see him amp his ground-ball rate back up to 45.0%. Between 2015 and 2017, Sanchez kept setting new career-low marks in that department, with it bottoming out at 35.6%.

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