The Livest Dog at UFC Blaydes vs Lewis: Andrei Arlovski

The Livest Dog at UFC Blaydes vs Lewis: Andrei Arlovski


The Livest Dog at UFC Blaydes vs Lewis: Andrei Arlovski


Jul 20, 2019; San Antonio, TX, USA; Andrei Arlovski (red gloves) fights Ben Rothwell (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at AT&T Center. Arlovski won by unanimous decision and set a new record for most UFC heavyweight wins, surpassing Frank Mir, with 17. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports

Watch live sports and ESPN originals on ESPN+ for only $4.99 a month. Start your 7-day free trial today!

Name: Andrei Arlovski 

Opponent: Tom Aspinall

Odds: +220 (bet $100 to win $220)

The last time Andrei Arlovski was a favorite in a fight was September 5th of 2015 when he fought Frank Mir. While he doesn’t have the sleekest of records since then, he is 3-1 in his last four. In that span, the thing he has done best is change his approach into a safer fighter who avoids the big blow. This has been particularly successful against younger fighters who have a history of winning mostly by KO quickly.

Enter Tom Aspinall, who has picked up all of his wins in 1:35 or less. Also, he just happens to be 0-2 in fights that last longer than two minutes. Although his skill set is clearly impressive and he has big power, Arlovski is the perfect test to force him into a different, less comfortable style of fight.

Seeing Arlovski handle both Philipe Lins and Tanner Boser in that same way gives me a lot of confidence, particularly at this price.


2021 Record: 0-4 (1 withdrawal)
Earnings (based on $100 bet/event): -($400)
Return on Investment: -100%

2018-20 Record: 45-72 (+1.1%)


Shop all things UFC at Amazon!

(The MMA Manifesto is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to

More Sports

More MMA