Updated Olympic Hockey Scenarios

Only one game remains in the preliminary round of the Olympic hockey tournament, the Canada-Finland showdown for first place in Group B. With the standings in the other two groups sorted out, we have a  very clear picture of how the bracketed portion of the tournament will look.

Group A
Team Record Pts GD GF
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosUSA
2-1-0-0 8 +11 15
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosRussia
1-1-1-0 6 +3 8
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosSlovenia
1-0-0-2 3 -5 6
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosSlovakia
0-0-1-2 1 -9 2
Note: Record is displayed as W-OTW-OTL-L

Group B
Team
Record
Pts
GD
GF
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosFinland
2-0-0-0
6
+9
14
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosCanada
2-0-0-0
6
+8
9
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosAustria
1-0-0-2
3
-8
7
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosNorway
0-0-0-3
0
-8
3

Group C

Team Record Pts GD GF
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosSweden
3-0-0-0 9 +5 10
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosSwitzerland
2-0-0-1 6 +1 2
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosCzech Rep
1-0-0-2
3 -1 6
Updated Olympic Hockey ScenariosLatvia
0-0-0-3 0 -5 5
As a reminder, here is how the seeding for the knockout portion of the tournament is decided.
  • Teams are seeded based on order of finish in their groups. The 3 first place teams get the top 3 seeds, then the 2nd place teams, 3rd place teams and so forth. 
  • Teams receive 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an OT/Shootout win and 1 for an OT/Shootout loss.
  • Amongst each set of teams that finished in the same place, they are seeded based on points.
  • Any ties on points are broken by Goal Differential, Goals Scored, then IIHF World Ranking.
The bottom of the bracket is already decided: 
7. Czech Republic
8. Slovenia
9. Austria
10. Slovakia
11. Latvia
12. Norway
The Czechs will play Slovakia and Austria will play Slovenia in the opening round. Latvia will play the #6 seed and Norway will play the #5 seed
Here are the two scenarios in play for the Canada-Finland game:
If Canada-Finland ends in regulation
  • The winner will be the #1 seed
  • Sweden will be the #2 seed
  • The USA will be the #3 seed
  • The loser will be the #4 seed unless:
    • If Canada wins by 7 or 8, Russia will be the #4 seed Finland the #5 seed and Switzerland the #6 seed
    • If Canada wins by 9 or more, Russia will be the #4 seed, Switzerland the #5 seed and Finland the #6 seed
    • If Finland wins by 5, 6 or 7, Russia will be the #4 seed, Canada the #5 seed and Switzerland the #6 seed
    • If Finland wins by 8 or more, Russia will be the #4 seed, Switzerland the #5 seed and Canada the #6 seed.
If Canada-Finland ends in Overtime
  • Sweden will be the #1 seed 
  • The USA will be the #2 seed 
  • The winner will be the #3 seed
  • The loser will be the #4 seed
  • Russia will be the #5 seed
  • Switzerland will be the #6 seed
What does this mean for the US? As the #2 or #3 seed, the US will not have to face Russia (the #4 or #5 seed) until the medal round. The US would likely perfer to see Canada on the other half of the bracket (either as the #1 or #4 seed) which is possible if the Canada-Finland game ends in regulation. Additionally, this gives the US a relatively easy path to the semi-finals.
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