Last week I went 10-2 overall but just 6-6 against the spread. The big two games I missed on were Georgia/South Carolina and Miami/Florida. As a Georgia alum, I'm thrilled to have missed on those two games but it doesn't make the record look very good. For the season, that brings me to 20-5 overall and 15-10 against the spread. If you take Georgia out of the mix I'm 20-3 and 15-8 so maybe you should just ignore my Georgia picks, good thing they are off this week.
Louisville (2-0) at Kentucky (1-1)
Noon EST, ESPN
Line: Louisville by 14
Note: So far this year I am 1-1 with straight up picks for UK and 1-1 against the spread.
Here's what I wrote for Crystal Ball Run on this weeks "Dirty Dozen" staff picks:
Southern Miss (0-2) at Arkansas (2-0)
12:21 PM EST
Line: Arkansas by 23
Note: So far this year I am 2-0 with straight up picks for Arkansas and 0-2 against the spread.
My inclination here is to pick Arkansas to cover the 23 points but if you read the last sentence you would see that I have not been very good with picking this Hogs team so far in 2013. Because of that I'm going to go with Arkansas but say they don't quite cover 23 points.
Arkansas 35 Southern Miss 14
Tennessee (2-0) at Oregon (2-0)
3:30 PM EST, ABC
Line: Oregon by 28
Note: So far this year I am 2-0 with straight up picks for Tennessee and 2-0 against the spread.
Click here to read the Early Analysis I did on this game for Crystal Ball Run.
RIP Tennessee. Butch Jones has this Vols team headed in the right direction but they just aren't ready to play an Oregon team like this.
Oregon 48 Tennessee 17
Alabama (1-0) at Texas A&M (2-0)
3:30 PM EST, CBS
Line: Bama by 7.5
Note: So far this year I am 1-0 with straight up picks for Bama and 1-0 against the spread. I am 2-0 so far picking A&M both straight up and against the spread.
Click here to read the Early Analysis I did on this game for Crystal Ball Run.
Overall, I really like Alabama to win this game but I don't love the point spread. Take the points but don't expect Johnny Football and the Aggies to win.
Alabama 27 A&M 24
Mississippi State (1-1) at Auburn (2-0)
7 PM EST, ESPN 2
Line: Auburn by 6
Note: So far this year I am 2-0 with straight up picks for Miss State and 1-1 against the spread. For Auburn I am 2-0 both straight up and against the spread.
I'm not sure what to expect out of this game. Dan Mullen has made his bones at Miss State by beating up on the weaker members of the conference so the big question is if Auburn is still one of those weaker members. I think the Tigers come into this game with more confidence than the Bulldogs and they also have home field advantage. I'm not crazy about the points they are getting but I like Auburn to find a way to win this game at home.
Auburn 21 Mississippi State 17
Kent State (1-1) at LSU (2-0)
7 PM EST, ESPNU
Line: LSU by 36.5
Note: So far this year I am 2-0 with straight up picks for LSU and 1-1 against the spread.
Auburn beat UAB by 39 last week but Kent State is a much better team then UAB. LSU will win but I have a hard time believing they cover the spread.
LSU 42 Kent State 10
Vanderbilt (1-1) at South Carolina (1-1)
7 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Gamecocks by 13.5
Note: So far this year I am 1-1 picking both South Carolina and Vandy both against the spread and straight up.
Click here to read the Early Analysis I did on this game for Crystal Ball Run.
At home, the Gamecocks win this game. Again, I don't love the point spread. Stay away from this game but if you must then take the points as Vandy is a stubborn team.
Prediction: South Carolina 24 Vanderbilt 13
8 PM EST, Longhorn Network
Line: Texas by 2.5
Texas is coming off of an embarrassing loss at BYU in which they ran their defensive coordinator out of town and replaced him with a rather lackluster candidate. Everything screams Ole Miss here so proceed with caution but I'm just not sure how much the fragile psyche of the Longhorns can take. Give me the Ole Miss in what I'm not sure would be called an upset after last week.
Prediction: Ole Miss 28 Texas 27
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