3. Indianapolis can strike from multiple directions: QB Peyton Manning has a somewhat revamped stable of receivers that can all contribute. He has five receivers that have caught over 10 passes and hauled in TD receptions, including young receivers Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie. TE Dallas Clark is his favorite target and will line up anywhere on the field, often running short crossing routes as well as deep go patterns.
4. Look for the Colts to shun the no-huddle offense: Manning loves to run his offense out of the no-huddle set so he can force opponents out of situational substituting. The problem is that when playing away from home the crowd can make it difficult for him to audible out of plays. If the Titans can keep the game close the home field will be making a lot of noise.
Here’s the spread stats. Indy is a big favorite
The Titans have the worst pass defense in the league. The Colts have the #1 rated passing offense. Even though it is hard to imagine the Titans dropping to 0-5, from a statistical standpoint that is exactly what will happen if Peyton Manning has even an average performance. Last year the Titans beat the Colts at home because Peyton Manning threw two interceptions and passed for just 223 yards. If they can hold Manning under 225 yards and force 2 INTs again the Titans win 57 percent. Unfortunately for Tennessee there is under a 5 percent chance of this scenario occurring with the Titans pass defense struggling so badly. The Titans should get a big running performance from Chris Johnson who has a 40 percent chance of 100+ yards and 1 TD. If Johnson explodes for 125+ yards the Titans win 61 percent.
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