8. Indianapolis needs to work on its running game: The Colts have used two first-round picks on running backs in the past four years yet are dead last in the NFL in rushing yards and 28th in yards per carry. Denver is 16th in run defense but in yards per carry their defense is seventh, giving up only 3.92 yards per attempt. As the Colts zero in on home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, expect them to focus on their ground game, which should soften up the coverage on the back end.
The Broncos are playing well again, but they are heavy underdogs this week vs the Colts. The Broncos are the 2nd ranked pass defense based on yards allowed, but they only have 10 INTs in 12 games. Peyton Manning is still averaging 290 yards, nearly 2 TDs and under 1 INT per simulation. The Broncos need to intercept Manning at least twice and if they do their chances jump from 24 to 45 percent. If the Broncos do not turn the ball over more than once while intercepting Manning twice, Denver is the 57 percent favorite.
Add The Sports Daily to your Google News Feed!
