AFC championship game rewind

FO looks back at a preview of last year

As tempting as it is to favor the hot Wild Card team considering what’s happened in recent postseasons, don’t compare apples to oranges; compare apples to apples. The Colts dominated the Jets before removing Manning and company in Week 16, with a far superior DVOA that doesn’t even consider injuries or how many near-misses the Colts’ offense had. The margin of victory for the Jets last time around was 14 points; they scored a defensive touchdown and a special teams touchdown, neither of which have any predicative value going forward. Barring an absolute meltdown by Manning, the Jets are going to need one of each again to make it to the Super Bowl.

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