One thing that is wrong with us as a society is we overreact to everything. What happened moments ago is all we seem to remember. A player sucks because he dropped a pass, a QB sucks because he threw a pick, or a player is dead to you because he had a bad fantasy week. This is behavior you have to take advantage of in daily fantasy sports. For example, Julio Jones in week 4 was written off coming off a bad week 3 on Monday night football and then put up 51 fantasy points on DraftKings. Use the frustrations of others to your advantage, because if you can figure out which players had a down week due to a bad match up, a fluke game, or whatever other reason, you can stand to make a lot of money.
Last week my picks went 2-2 With Lamar Miller and Terrelle Pryor having 2 touchdown monster games. I missed on DeSean Jackson who dropped a 40-yard touchdown pass, and missed on Sterling Sheppard who did nothing with his 8 targets. Will Fuller didn’t play due to injury. Hopefully I can hit on all 5 guys this week.
- Brandon Marshall WR Jets
Marshall disappointed people on prime time which is the best way to have low ownership the next week. I touched on this in my Stacks article, but Marshall is a great bet to see double digit targets versus a team that has been killed by WR all season long. Jimmy Smith is looking doubtful right now with a concussion, and Shareece Wright has given up the most touchdowns of any corner this season. Last week Tavon Young stepped up for Smith when he went out and gave up both touchdowns to Beckham. Marshall has a great matchup, will see a ton of targets, and have low ownership. He is looking like a stud this week.
2. T.Y. Hilton WR Colts
T.Y. Hilton had 3 catches for 49 yards on 9 targets versus a stingy Houston Texans defense. The 9 targets are the fewest he has seen all season, as he has had over a 25% target share in every game this season, the only WR in the NFL to do so. T.Y. Hilton gets a Titans secondary that has been beaten for big games by WRs such as Terrelle Pryor, Mike Crabtree, Will Fuller, Marvin Jones, and Stephon Diggs. Hilton will have the volume and the matchup where he can explode for 150 yards and a touchdown. He hurt a lot of people’s Primetime teams last week, which should drive his ownership levels very low. He is a great pivot off of some of the other high priced WRs this week.
3. DeMarco Murray RB Titans
Murray had his worst game of the season when he had his highest ownership last week. Murray gets a Colts defense that has been shredded all season long and should be vulnerable again this week. Murray is 6th in the NFL in carries and 1st in receptions among running backs. The volume will be there in a sweet matchup for the super star running back. He will still be a popular play, however his ownership will be much lower than it should be due to last week’s disappointment. Fire Murray up with confidence in all formats and sit back and enjoy as he goes for over 100 yards and a touchdown.
4. Mike Wallace WR Ravens
Now Wallace had 97 yards on 4 catches last week, but he didn’t get in the end zone and disappointed people who were hoping for a bigger game. With Steve Smith out this week Wallace, seem like a safe bet to see double digit targets this week as he has in the previous two games. The Jets have given up more 50 yard touchdowns than any team in the NFL and Wallace is still one of the NFL’s best deep threats. Last week Wallace had a 70-yard reception where he was tackled inside the 5 and another pass where Flacco missed him for a huge gain that could have been a touchdown. Wallace has a high upside, with high usage, and a great matchup. His ownership should be under 10 percent and when he scores on a big play you can enjoy watching your team shoot up the leader board.
5. Julius Thomas TE Jaguars.
Julius Thomas isn’t just last week’s dud, he has been a dud for much of the season since his big week one of the season. Jaguars’ offensive coordinator Greg Olsen has noticed, and wants to get him more involved. This is exactly the week to do it versus a Raiders team that has been torched by tight ends for years now. Thomas has always been one of the league’s best Red Zone targets, and he should be looking at 8 targets in this game. That gives him touchdown upside, but also catch and yard upside. I think Thomas has a good chance at a 6 catch, 80 yards, and a touchdown day. This gives him 20 points on DraftKings, which is 5 times his 4k salary and could play a major role in you taking down a GPP.
This article was written by Eliot Crist. Eliot is the Lead Fantasy Football Writer for Super Two Sports. Follow Eliot on Twitter for up to date fantasy football news and advice.
Add The Sports Daily to your Google News Feed!
