The college football simulation, if the pollsters are right

If you have been around here for a while, you know that Steve and I run a college football simulation at season’s end every year. For those who haven’t been, I’ll give you the rough details: We reorganized conferences into geographic groups of 10. When we started this thing, there were 120 teams right on the nose, so it divided into 12 even conferences. There are now a few strays, but we will only worry about the 120 originals. Anyways, the 12 conference champions meet in a tournament, seeded based on overall record and strength of conference. Basically, we wanted a way to simulate a season that completely removed personal bias from the the end result.

We can’t run the simulation until the season is all the way over (that’s when whatifsports puts together their team profiles), but we can imagine a world in which the people that run the AP poll get it absolutely, 100% right. The best teams in the league are accurately selected by the people who rank them. Obviously, this is not a reality, but if it was? Well, here is what the tournament seeds would look like if everything works out to match the BCS:

1 Kansas State
2. Oregon
3. Notre Dame
4. Alabama
5. Florida
6. LSU
7. Stanford
8. Louisville
9. Michigan
10. Rutgers
11. Texas Tech
12. Middle Tennessee State

Oh yeah, that’s a good field (I mean, other than MTSU). The first round games would feature Florida-MTSU, LSU-Texas Tech, Stanford-Rutgers and Louisville-Michigan. The stage would be set for an eventual Oregon-Alabama game too, which would be key. Of course, this isn’t even close to how it will eventually sort itself out. That’s the fun of sports (and sports simulations).

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