NBA Expert Picks & Free Basketball Predictions Today, February 2024

Our pro handicappers deliver expert NBA picks on a daily basis. You will benefit from sharp picks throughout the regular season and the playoffs if you bookmark this page. We have also provided NBA futures picks to help with your long-term selections.

This page highlights the best sites for betting on pro basketball and explains your key NBA betting options. Read on to discover the best NBA picks today.

The Latest NBA Picks Today

You can bookmark this page and return to this section for regular NBA picks throughout the regular season and the playoffs. These are are top NBA picks today:

2022-23 NBA Championship Favorites

The Golden State Warriors opened as the favorites to win the NBA Championship following their victory over the Celtics in the 2022 NBA Finals. However, the odds have been shifting amid high-profile trades, so you can find a lot of value in this market.

The Sports Daily’s NBA Expert Picks & Basketball Predictions

You can bookmark our NBA picks page and visit this section on a daily basis for expert predictions. Our seasoned handicappers augment their encyclopedic knowledge of pro basketball with advanced analytics to devise high-quality NBA picks. These are the best NBA picks right now:

Western Conference Winner

The Golden State Warriors have now won the Western Conference in six of the past eight seasons, so it would take a brave hoops fan to bet against them. The dynasty was put on pause for a couple of years amid injuries to key players, but the Dubs came roaring back in 2021-22.

Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green looked back to their best, while Andrew Wiggins was sensational throughout the NBA Finals. James Wiseman will return at some point, and Donte DiVincenzo looks like a shrewd signing.

The hype around the Phoenix Suns and the LA Clippers has caused the odds on the Warriors to drift out in recent weeks. The odds on them winning the Western Conference now look very appealing.

NBA Pick: Golden State Warriors to win the NBA Championship

Eastern Conference Winner

The Eastern Conference looks wide open this season. The Boston Celtics are the deserved favorites having conquered the east with a young, talented roster last season. They have strengthened by signing Malcolm Brogdon this offseason.

The Miami Heat are also very strong, the Nets could potentially be dangerous and Joel Embiid and James Harden will make the Sixers competitive.

Yet the Milwaukee Bucks could vanquish all of them if they get a bit of luck with injuries. They have the best trio in the east when Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday are healthy. Injuries to Middleton derailed their season, but if he is back at full strength, Milwaukee can take down the Heat and get the better of the Celtics.

NBA Championship Winner

There are no weaknesses in the Golden State Warriors team. Steve Kerr is now firmly established as one of the top five coaches in NBA history. The superstar triumvirate of Curry, Green and Thompson can get the Dubs deep into the playoffs every season. Wiggins and Jordan Poole have impressed, and Gary Payton II and DiVincenzo provide depth.

The Dubs face a stern test of their mettle in the west. A duo of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George will make the Clippers very tough to live with, while the Suns are busy building their own super team. Yet the Warriors’ heady blend of experience and youth should allow them to dominate the Western Conference for a few more years.

If they make it to the NBA Finals, they will be the heavy favorites to be any time from the east. A healthy trio of Antetokounmpo, Middleton and Holiday could make things interesting, as they boast the sort of athleticism and dynamism that could make them a tricky matchup for the Dubs, but the smart money would still be on Golden State.

Regular Season MVP

The last man to win three consecutive NBA MVP awards was Larry Bird in the mid-1980s. Voter fatigue sets in, and that could thwart two-time defending MVP Nikola Jokic’s chances next season. Luka Doncic is the favorite to seize individual glory next season, ahead of perennial contenders Joel Embiid and Antetokounmpo, who won it in 2019 and 2020.

However, there is also a lot of value to be had when you look a little further down the list. One name that stands out in Ja Morant. He has just agreed to a five-year extension worth up to $231 million with the Memphis Grizzlies, and he could be worth every penny.

Morant’s highlights reel from last season goes on and on. He produced the sort of acrobatic feats that fellow pros would not even dream of attempting. Morant averaged 27.4 points per game, and he won the NBA Most Improved Player award. His ceiling is vast, and he should maintain his upward curve, so odds of +1800 on him look very tempting.

NBA MVP contender Ja Morant

Rookie of the Year

Paolo Banchero is the Rookie of the Year favorite after he was selected as the No. 1 overall pick in the NBA Draft. He will have a lot of opportunities to prove his worth at an Orlando team that is light on offensive talent.

However, Jabari Smith Jr. looks like a stronger pick. He was selected at No. 3, after Banchero and Chet Holmgren, but most experts had expected him to go first. He ended up with the Houston Rockets – a team desperate for an infusion of talent – instead of Orlando, and he should flourish in Texas.

Smith looks ready for the NBA. He scored almost at will for Auburn, and he is also strong on defense. He carried the Tigers to the SEC Championship, and he should emerge as an All-Star within the next few years.

What are NBA Picks?

NBA picks are predictions on how a game will end. Most picks focus on which team will cover the point spread. However, you will also find NBA over/under picks. Certain handicappers specialize in prop picks, and moneyline picks may be available too when both teams look evenly matched.

Handicappers come up with NBA picks on individual games and on futures markets like the NBA Championship winner. They use detailed statistical analysis and gut instinct based on their vast knowledge of the sport. The picks are designed to give followers an edge over their fellow bettors when wagering on NBA games.

Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread

The sportsbooks will give the team they believe to be stronger a points handicap. That creates a point spread, and the sports betting sites offer similar odds on either team covering it. Here is an example of a point spread:

  • Boston Celtics -2.5 vs. Miami Heat (-110)
  • Miami Heat +2.5 vs. Boston Celtics (-110)

If you bet on the Celtics, they must win the game by 3 or more points. A bet on Miami would require it to either win the game or lose by up to 2 points.

Handicappers try to predict which team will cover the point spread. They can access information about each team’s record against the spread (ATS) during the season. The ATS record can also be broken down into home and away games, and other filters are available too.

Expert NBA Picks and Parlays

A parlay allows a bettor to combine two or more picks for a single wager. For example, you might like four selections on a particular day:

  • LA Clippers to cover against Denver Nuggets (-110)
  • New Orleans Pelicans to cover against Minnesota Timberwolves (-110)
  • Over 214.5 points in a Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors game (-110)
  • Under 221.5 points in a Chicago Bulls vs. Atlanta Hawks game (-110)

If y0u have $100, you could divide it up and bet $25 on each selection. That would result in a $90.91 profit if all four picks proved correct. Alternatively, you could roll all four into a $100 parlay. You would then be paid $1,228.33 if all four were correct.

The profit from each leg carries over to the next leg, resulting in large cumulative profits. However, if one leg lets you down, the bet fails, so it is a risky wager.

The house edge increases with every leg you add. For that reason, very few handicappers give out NBA parlay picks. However, if you like parlays, you can combine multiple ATS and over/under picks from experts.

NBA Futures Odds- Offshore Sportsbooks Predict L.A. Lakers Win Total

Expert NBA Over/Under Picks

Some of the most exciting bets you can place are those on totals markets. These are where you can bet for there to be more or fewer points scored than a theoretical middle ground number which ends in a .5 in order to guarantee a winner.

Expert picks on these will be based on the closeness of each match-up, various statistics which apply to each team, and a variety of other data which ensure you are given the best insight into totals markets.

NBA Computer Picks

While most picks advertised on our site come from human insight and tips, you can now also get your bets picked by supercomputers. These are computers dedicated to running large amounts of data.

In this way, computer picks are much more mathematically driven. What they try to do is find anomalies in data to do with certain NBA match-ups or markets in order to spot odds which might be inaccurate. Therefore, you will be backing on odds which should be better value in terms of potential winnings.

NBA Score Predictions

Predicting scores exactly in the NBA is almost impossible given the high-scoring nature of basketball matches. Score predictions which we provide on our site are to do with the results of the match, and also reference totals markets for over/under bets.

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Our reviewers have analyzed every U.S. sportsbook in detail. They ultimately decided that these are the country’s best NBA betting sites right now:

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Where to Find Free NBA Expert Picks

You can find NBA expert picks at The Sports Daily. Bookmark this page and return regularly to find picks and analysis from our experienced handicappers.

If you would like additional advice, you can search for NBA picks on Google or on social media platforms like Twitter. You can ignore the NBA score predictions, but you will find some interesting ATS and over/under picks. NBA DFS picks can also prove valuable if you are interested in placing player props.

How we Make Expert NBA Picks and Basketball Predictions

We have assembled a diverse team of expert handicappers to provide NBA picks and analysis. These are the key tenets that help them produce successful NBA picks:

Watch NBA Action Obsessively

You need to be an expert to make strong NBA picks. That requires handicappers to watch a huge volume of games each season, either live or on repeat.

Our handicappers also stay on top of the latest team news, so they are never caught off guard by injuries or anything else that can impact an NBA team’s roster

Uncover Relevant Stats

Pro basketball is packed with useless stats. Metrics such as player efficiency rating, +/- and assist-to-turnover ratio are of little use when handicapping a game, while long-term head-to-heads stretching back many years are equally useless.

Experienced handicappers can use advanced analytics and tease out insights on how a game will unfold by sifting through the vast array of data to uncover useful gems. Effective field goal percentage, turnover percentage, offensive and defensive rebounding, free throws, rebounds per minute and adjusted shooting percentage are more helpful stats.

Pounce on Line Movements

Pro bettors make money by seizing upon weak lines. They can occasionally arise when the sportsbook makes a mistake, but they also appear when public sentiment causes a line to move significantly from the opening line. At this point, sharp bettors fade the public by betting on the unpopular team at artificially inflated terms.

You can also seek arbitrage opportunities, and you can use middling when lines move too. Our handicappers do not simply analyze the game. They also seek out odds and lines that represent value, and they share their findings with our readers, so make sure you bookmark this NBA picks guide.

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NBA Picks & Basketball Predictions FAQs

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