The Red Sox have 92 games left and of those games, 43 are against teams under .500. If we assume that the Red Sox can win 50% of their games against the good teams in the league and win 61% of their games against bad teams (their current winning percentage, the Red Sox will end with a record of 93-69. For the Yankees to catch them they would need to win 60% of all their remaining games. For Tampa to catch them they would need to win 62% of their remaining games.
Unfortunately for the Yankees, they only have 26 games remaining against teams under .500. Tampa is in a worse situation, playing just 25 games against the worse teams in baseball. This sets the Red Sox up as the prohibitive favorites to win the division. This puts them in a position to rest players or potentially move assets to improve their team next year.
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