The Colts are expected to pick up where they left of after their Bye Week with Peyton Manning averaging 300 passing yards and a 75 percent chance of passing for at least 2 TDs. The Rams defense does have 5 interception this year and their only chance of upsetting the Colts is to have at least 2 INTs while QB Marc Bulger throws zero picks. If this happens the Rams chances improve from 11 to 33 percent. If the Rams are at least +2 in the turnover battle and Steven Jackson can have a 75+ yards against the Colts the Rams actually are favored winning 56 percent.
1. Indianapolis must protect Peyton Manning: The Rams are going to want to come at Manning from all directions as they try to force him into some bad decisions. The Colts’ offensive line will need to be in top form to recognize and pick up the blitz. When Manning has time to read the coverage and go through his progressions, he can carve up the best secondaries with his precision passing.
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