Hank Waddles of the website GoMightyCard.com dropped by to ask some Oregon-Stanford questions.
1. Thanks to the lightning speed of the Oregon offense, the defensive unit is on the field longer than any other defense in the country. How are they able to manage this burden and remain effective?
Oregon practices at an incredibly fierce pace, often six plays a minute. Most of the two-hour practice period is conducted at game speed, so the Ducks rarely do any additional conditioning at the end of practice. Practice itself is the conditioning period. So the Ducks are an extremely well-conditioned team, practicing against the Oregon offense every day.
photo right: Fear the beard? No, but there is plenty to be concerned about facing #4 Stanford, including a physical defense and a ground-pounding running game that averages 224 yards a game. Luck’s pretty good too. (californiagoldenblogs photo).
In addition, Nick Aliotti’s defense is blessed with tremendous depth and athleticism. The Ducks regularly play a rotation of 20-24 players a game, which includes the entire two-deep. Like a line change in hockey, players are taught to go hard for their entire shift, knowing they’ll get a breather when they need it. The system builds depth and increases motivation, as the twos know they’ll get significant playing time every game.
2. Even with all the attention showered on Andrew Luck, Stanford is still a run-oriented offense. Tell me about Oregon’s front seven, specifically the defensive line, which did a great job against Chris Polk and the Washington run game. Who are the stars of that unit, and how effective do you expect that they’ll be against the Cardinal running attack?
D-Line coach Jerry Azzinaro teaches effort and technique. There aren’t really any stars on the Oregon front; it’s truly a unit, with the full rotation of eight guys contributing and improving every week. Washington was the group’s best game as they accounted for five of Oregon’s six sacks. Defensive tackle Taylor Hart is a tremendous effort guy. On video you can see him chase down running backs twenty yards downfield. Dion Jordan, a 6-7, 240-lb. defensive end and a former tight end and wide receiver, has good agility and athleticism, seems to be coming into his own with 26 tackles in his last six games, 8 for loss, and four sacks.
Stanford’s mammoth offensive line and power attack represents a new challenge. It’s a classic matchup of power versus speed. The Ducks have been tough against the run all season, and they rank sixth in the country in sacks with 3.22 per game, while The Cardinal have given up just four all year. Oregon will try to rally to the ball and be athletic. It will no doubt be a challenge, facing an offensive line with two potential first round draft picks in guard David DeCastro and tackle Jonathan Martin.
3. It seems like Oregon might be most vulnerable against the pass, and at least some of their problems there must be attributable to the in and out season of cornerback Cliff Harris. How does his absence affect the defense, and how has the team prevented that from becoming a distraction?
Cliff Harris was an impact player and an All-American as a sophomore in 2010, but disciplinary issues and a failure to apply himself in practice have made him a complete nonfactor in 2011. It’s a testament to character and coaching that his absence hasn’t really mattered, but the Webfoots have run this play before: in 2009 they won without star tailback LeGarrette Blount, suspended most of the season after the infamous punch, and in 2010 they went to the national championship game after kicking starting quarterback Jeremiah Masoli off the team.
It starts with head coach Chip Kelly, who doesn’t make or accept excuses. The Ducks have recruited well and secondary coach John Neal is an exceptional teacher of defensive backfield play, having sent nearly a dozen players to the NFL, including stars like Jairus Byrd, Pat Chung and T.J. Ward. This year, he’s gotten steadily improving play from a talented set of freshmen and redshirt freshmen, Terrance Mitchell, who had a brilliant strip of a tight end in the Washington game, Troy Hill, who despite his small size is a big hitter, and Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, a true freshman from Chino Hills, California who has Cliff Harris ability but better size and focus. These three, along with redshirt freshman Dior Mathis, who has PAC-12 sprinter speed, and versatile sophomore Avery Patterson have competed every down with some of the best receivers in the West, like Juron Criner, Keenan Allen and Marquess Wilson, and that experience has prepared them for the challenge of facing Andrew Luck.
It should be noted that while Luck is a tremendous talent, his wide receivers minus the injured Chris Owusu are an underwhelming group. The Duck secondary will stick their nose in there. They play physically, and haven’t been intimidated by anyone.
4. Overall, how do you expect the Oregon defense to attack Andrew Luck? As good as the offensive line has been, there have been isolated games where Luck has felt a fair amount of pressure. Can we expect to different blitz packages, or will they attempt to pressure just with the front four?
The Ducks play a very flexible 3-4/4-3 defense with pressure and stunts from all angles. They mix blitzes, alignments and stunts, and disguise their coverages and looks very well. Linebacker Josh Kaddu leads the team in sacks with six; he’s a quick, agile edge rusher, and reserve middle linebacker Dewitt Stuckey is a master of the delayed blitz up the middle, a big hitter.
Stanford’s line protects Luck very well, but USC, who like Oregon has a fast and athletic defense, was able to get pressure and disrupt the Stanford attack to some extent. But no one on the Oregon sideline minimizes the challenge they’re facing from The Cardinal, whose balanced attack is a perfect 52-52 in the Red Zone.
5. Finally, a quick question about Chip Kelly and the fan base. He’s famous for saying that Oregon State isn’t their big rival since they play eleven rivalry games every year. No game is different from any other. Do fans buy that? Do you feel like this game is any bigger than the others on the schedule? And how excited are fans for this Saturday?
Kelly sells his team on a win-the-day, faceless opponent approach to preparation. The Ducks focus on improving and playing to their potential, and the result is a 30-5 record over the last three seasons and the last two conference championships. Within the locker room, the players and coaches don’t talk a lot about rivalry games or polls or national championship implications. Their approach each week remains the same, and that’s been extremely effective.
Fans don’t have the same kind of discipline, however. Most of the Oregon faithful and faithless have had the Stanford game circled since August, projecting the team to 8-1/9-0 and realizing this game, the biggest game of the season on the West Coast, would determine the season as a success or failure. Win, and the Ducks have the inside track to the Rose Bowl. Lose, and it’s January in San Antonio, a total letdown after two great seasons. The road to the conference championship has a giant checkpoint, manned by Andrew Luck with a big badge and mirror shades. Everybody knew it would come down to a Stanford-Oregon showdown for the PAC-12 North, and fans are amped for it.
6. Okay, time for a prediction. Let me know how you think the game will play out, and what’s your final score?
The national pundits predict a shootout, and the Vegas Wise Guys have Stanford as a 3.5-point favorite. Oregon has to play their best game of the season to win in Palo Alto, and find a solution to the relentless power run game of The Cardinal.
The Ducks have a big edge in special teams. De’Anthony Thomas and Josh Huff are dangerous returners, LaMichael James, the nation’s leading rusher, fields punts, and Jackson Rice is a superlative punter who excels at creating a long field for opponents, averaging over 44 yards a kick with very few returns.
This may be one of the few times in either team’s season where they’ll need a stop or a score on the last possession to win.
It’s speed versus power, and I don’t have a prediction. The Ducks have to win the battle of turnovers, and they must adjust to what might be a slow, muddy surface in Stanford Stadium. The Oregon offense has been in a bit of a slump since Darron Thomas returned from injury: in their last two games the high-powered offense has produced just four touchdowns apiece versus Washington State and Washington, a team The Cardinal pasted 65-21.
Hold a particle accelerator to my head, and I’ll say Oregon wins, 38-34.
Readers: What questions do you have for Hank and GoMightyCard.com? Post them here and I’ll send them along.
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