Luckiest team?

I’m usually a fan of Mgrex, but he’s got some logic problems here. Of course it’s a two part story, so I’m guessing he works them out. I’ll reserve judgement until I read the second part.

Now, I’ve made a pretty big assumption saying that the entire difference between actual and calculated Winning Percentage is due to Luck.  There are clearly other factors that lead to the differences, but it’s just easier to tidy it up into one word.  Some luck is based on putting yourself in good situations, which many good teams do.  I wanted to make sure everyone understood my assumptions.

In my next article, I’ll take a look at the luckiest/unluckiest teams since 2001, and whether luck from one year can predict how good/bad a team will be the following year.