MLB Picks Today: Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets for May 11

 Best Bets: Thursday, May 11

Padres @ Twins | 11:10 AM CST | MLB Network

Bet	Padres	Twins	Play
Moneyline	-132	+110
F5	-1.5 (+125)	+1.5 (-150)
Total	Over 8.5 (-110)	Under 8.5 (-110)

 

PITCHING PROBABLES:

Padres: Yu Darvish (2-2, 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 40 strikeouts)

Twins: Bailey Ober (2-0, .98 ERA, .87 WHIP, 16 strikeouts)

The Padres finally have the lineup many were waiting to see as Fernando Tatis Jr. has returned from his PED suspension, and the Padres are starting to get it going. They’re 6-4 in their last 10 and have outscored their opponents by 20 total runs in that span. The pitching has been excellent lately as well recording a 2.81 era over their last 10. Bailey Ober toes it up for the Twins and he has been downright dominant. He’s made two starts on the year and has only yielded one earned run in the two combined starts, but this is a bit of a different monster he faces today. His first start came against the Royals, the team with the worst batting average in baseball, and he also beat the Guardians. This feels like a solid time for a fade.

Rays  @ Yankees | 5:05 PM CST | MLB Network

Bet	Rays	Yankees	Play
Moneyline	-115	-105
Run Line	-1.5 (+140)	+1.5 (-170)
Total	Over 8.5  (-110)	Under 8.5 (-110)

 

 

PITCHING PROBABLES:

Rays: Drew Rasmussen (3-2, 3.11 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 40 strikeouts)

Yankees: Domingo German (2-2, 4.35 ERA, .94 WHIP, 44 strikeouts)

The Yankees have certainly not been the powerhouse many thought we’d see so far in 2023, but it’s still early, and they’re getting healthy. They just welcomed Aaron Judge back to their lineup, and they’ve won six of their last 10. The Rays have also won 6 of their last 10, their worst 10-game run in the season, which shows how incredible they’ve been. We’ve faded Rasmussen a few times this season as he seemingly always flirts with disaster. He boasts a 1.2. WHIP and has been finding ways to wiggle free from trouble. But we like this number on the Yanks at home and Domingo German was very solid in his last start against this Ray lineup. On May 6th, German went 5 innings allowing just 2 runs on 4 hits. He had a two-game stretch where he really got knocked around, but he’s starting to turn it on lately. Give us the Yanks at home.

THE PICK: Yankees ML ( -105)

Bet on Yankees ML  (-105)  at BetOnline