Contributor: Nolan Howell
Got a bunch of money selling painted fruitcakes to building companies as bricks that you need to spend? Did Santa make it rain on some ho ho hos at your place and leave the cash behind?
Welcome to Undercard Superstar’s guide to gambling, where you can get po’ in one night if you play your cards right! As your resident financial adviser in MMA gambling, it is my duty to inform you that nobody affiliated with Undercard Superstar is accountable for any losses. In fact, you probably brought it upon yourself for reading this. So, seriously, you’ve been warned.
This time around, we are looking at UFC 168. Anderson Silva looks to regain his title against current middleweight champion Chris Weidman after a shocking loss. Plus, Miesha Tate battles a really awful person!
Luckily for you, I am here to ensure that all your gambling debts stay between YYYYYYYYYYYYYYOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU AND MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!
Now, let’s MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE AND YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU talk some turkey!
All lines provided by Bovada.
Undercard Values
- Estevan Payan: +150 vs. Robbie Peralta: -185
- William Macario: +130 vs. Bobby Voelker: -160
- Siyar Bahadurzada: -155 vs. John Howard: +125
- Dennis Siver: -265 vs. Manny Gamburyan: +205
- Gleison Tibau: -145 vs. Michael Johnson: +115
- Uriah Hall: -310 vs. Chris Leben: +240
The Facebook feature favorites look like sure enough things to put in a parlay with heavier favorites. Both Peralta and Voelker have encountered and defeated better competition than their opponents and the fact that they are under -200 is a pretty good value. Additionally, Peralta is sitting at +130 to finish inside the distance, so look at that as a good value as well.
My favorite underdog here is John Howard, who is seemingly much better than Siyay Bahadurzada at all areas of the game. Aside from a strong KO shot, I don’t see much chance for him to win here and Howard at +125 is a steal.
Finally, The Patron Saint of Undercard Superstar is a required bet and he looks like a decent bet as a low favorite.
Main Card Values
- Dustin Poirier: -250 vs. Diego Brandao: +195
- Jim Miller: -400 vs. Fabricio Camoes: +300
- Josh Barnett: -200 vs. Travis Browne: +160
- Ronda Rousey: -750 vs. Miesha Tate: +475
- Anderson Silva: -170 vs. Chris Weidman: +140
The main card is largely devoid of value underdog wise. I do like Tate for a small amount if you have that kind of money to waste. There is always a chance for someone to figure out the riddle of Rousey. I won’t be chancing it, but worth a sub-$5 bet. Additionally, Weidman at +140 is a decent bet, while his prop bets of a finish at +205 and a decision at +500 are good bets as well.
As far as favorites, I like Josh Barnett as long as he sits at -200. Prop bets in the main card are scare, but I like Jim Miller inside the distance so low at -110 and Poirier inside the distance at +125 as well.
Final Thoughts
Having come into some Christmas cash, I will be more reckless than usual (good lord…) with my spending. There seems to be some good value on this card.
My budget: $35.00
My bets: $15 on Voelker and Peralta to win $22.55, $10 on Howard to win $12.50, $10 on Voelker, Peralta, and Tibau to win $32.30.
-Nolan can be reached @nolanhowell.
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