Last week was a rough week if you tried to pick SEC games as five favorites lost outright, four of those teams were at least touchdown favorites to win. For the year I am 58-14 (80.5%) straight up and 38-29 (56.7%) against the spread. Unfortunately, I didn't get this posted before the Thursday night game between Miss State and Kentucky but let's see if we can get back on track this week….
Vanderbilt (4-3, 1-3) at #16 Texas A&M (5-2, 2-2)
12:21 PM EST, SEC TV
Line: A&M by 17
Last week Vandy seemed like they were on their way to an 0-4 SEC start as they were down 27-14 heading into the final quarter. But Vandy scored 17 unanswered points to win the game. They needed luck, they needed a unique set of circumstances and they needed to believe. Will they have that same set of circumstances against the Aggies? I just don't see lightning striking twice, especially with the weapons that A&M has on offense. Go with A&M here as they will want to make a statement after getting surprised last week by Auburn..
Texas A&M 45 Vanderbilt 24
Tennessee (4-3, 1-2) at #1 Alabama (7-0, 4-0)
3:30 PM EST, CBS
Line: Alabama by 28
The "Third Saturday in October" rivalry hasn't been that much of a rivalry lately as Alabama has won the last six games and they've take the last three by more than 30 points. Alabama has been quitely taking care of business and they've won their last three games by at least 40 points. As the season goes on, Tennessee is playing a lot better and I wouldn't be surprised if they were competitive in this game.
Prediction: Alabama 35 Tennessee 17
Furman (3-4) at #13 LSU (6-2, 3-2)
7 PM EST
LSU is coming off of a big loss at Ole Miss in which their season goals have had to be re-adjusted. Furman is 3-4 with losses to Gardner Webb, Coastal Carolina, Elon and Chattanooga. I think we know who's winning this one.
Prediction: LSU 56 Furman 7
#21 South Carolina (5-2, 3-2) at #5 Missouri (7-0, 3-0)
7 PM EST, ESPN 2
Line: Mizzou by 2.5
Despite not getting the 3:30 timeslot, this is the feature match-up in the SEC this week. Both teams will be starting back-up QBs so it's hard to get too much of a read on this one. Missouri has knocked off two of the SEC East favorites over the last two weeks. Can they do it for a third straight week? South Carolina is coming off of a big loss to Tennessee after what looked like a statement game against Arkansas. Which Gamecocks team will show up this week and can Mizzou keep it going? I see this being a close game that will be decide by a play or two or a turnover. I've been very impressed impressed with what Missouri has done over the last few weeks, I think the odds might just catch up with them this weekend.
Prediction: South Carolina 35 Missouri 31
FAU (2-5) at #11 Auburn (6-1, 3-1)
7:30 PM EST
Line: Auburn by 24
Along with Mizzou, Auburn has been the surprise team of the SEC. FAU hasn't been as horrible as they have in the past but they are still 2-5. One thing to take note of is that they are playing teams pretty closely in their last few games (lost to Marshall by 1, lost to Rice by 4 and lost to MTSU by 7). Could Auburn be a little sluggish after their big win over Texas A&M on the road. I like Auburn in this one but I'm not sure they cover the point spread.
Prediction: Auburn 38 FAU 17
Idaho (1-6) at Ole Miss (4-3, 2-3)
7:30 PM EST
Line: Ole Miss by 41.5
Idaho has been awful this year as they've given up at least 40 points in every game they've lost this season. Ole Miss is a bit banged up though, so I'm not crazy about such a large point spread.
Prediction: Ole Miss 45 Idaho 17
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