Two-yard conversions are successful inside the 10 55% of the time. A successful conversion gives the Chiefs at least a 1st and goal at the 6, worth a 0.56 WP. A failed conversion attempt gives the Colts a 1st down at the 8, and is worth 0.41 WP. On net, the conversion attempt is worth 0.49 WP.
FGs are good from the 8 95% of the time. A successful FG ties the game and gives the ball back to the Colts after a kickoff, worth 0.47 WP to the Chiefs. A miss gives the Colts a first down at their own 15, worth 0.40 WP for the Chiefs. On net, the FG attempt is worth 0.46 WP.
Going for it was probably the better call
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