Week 10 DVOA-Indy/NE pull away

The Colts and Pats game on Sunday wasn’t just a classic matchup.  It was a meeting of the two best teams in the NFL. I said it before, if you can beat the Pats, you can beat anyone in the league today.

Sunday night, I wrote in Audibles after the Patriots-Colts game that right now I would take either team over the New Orleans Saints. Looking at the week-to-week results for each team hammers this point home. New England has only one game this year with a DVOA below zero: the narrow Week 1 victory over Buffalo. Indianapolis has only one game this year with a DVOA below zero: the narrow Week 1 victory over Jacksonville. Each team has single-game DVOA of at least 30% in six of the eight games since, including both teams ending up with DVOA above 30% for Sunday night’s 35-34 instant classic. (For the record, New England had the higher rating for the game, 55% to 36%.)

Lots of stuff here:

The Colts’ playoff odds stand at 98.4%.  They have an 82% of the one seed, a 20% chance of winning the SB, and a 5% of going 16-0.

Indy has the #2 offense and the #7 defense.

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