2024 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Award Odds, Picks, and Winners

The NFL recognizes the best offensive player yearly with the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award.

The NFL has become an offensive league and some players have put up ridiculous numbers in recent seasons.

Below, we will give the top 10 favorites for Offensive Player of the Year according to BetOnline and predict which player will win the award in 2024.

  1. Christian McCaffrey (+750)
  2. Ja’Marr Chase (+775)
  3. Justin Jefferson (+1200)
  4. Nick Chubb (+1400)
  5. Lamar Jackson (+1800)
  6. Joe Burrow (+1800)
  7. Tyreek Hill (+2200)
  8. Austin Ekeler (+2200)
  9. Stefon Diggs (+2200)
  10. Jonathan Taylor (+2200)

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NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Odds

According to the best online sportsbooks, Christian McCaffrey (+750) is the slight favorite to win the NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Not far behind McCaffrey is Cincinnati Bengals WR JaMarr Chase at +775 odds.

Last year’s winner of the award, Justin Jefferson (+1200) is the third favorite to win the award.

The best offshore betting sites list Nick Chubb (+1400) as the fourth favorite.

Two QBs, Lamar Jackson (+1800) and Joe Burrow (+1800) are tied with the next-best odds.

For a breakdown of the top 10 candidates for the 2023 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award odds, check out the list below.

Player NFL OPOY Odds Play
Christian McCaffrey +750 BetOnline logo
Ja’Marr Chase +775 BetOnline logo
Justin Jefferson +1200 BetOnline logo
Nick Chubb +1400 BetOnline logo
Lamar Jackson +1800 BetOnline logo
Joe Burrow +1800 BetOnline logo
Tyreek Hill +2200 BetOnline logo
Austin Ekeler +2200 BetOnline logo
Stefon Diggs +2200 BetOnline logo
Jonathan Taylor +2200 BetOnline logo

1. Christian McCaffrey (+750), San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey is the odds-on favorite to win the NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

McCaffrey does it all for the 49ers.

He is excellent in the ground game but what separates him from most RBs is his receiving skills.

McCaffrey was traded to the 49ers last season after playing six games with the Carolina Panthers.

In 10 games started and 11 total games played with the 49ers, McCaffrey had 746 rushing yards, six rushing TDs, 52 receptions, 464 receiving yards, and four receiving TDs.

McCaffrey did not start the very first game after joining San Francisco because it was a very short week but became the immediate starter the week after.

He was a critical part of leading the 49ers to the NFC Championship game last year.

This could be McCaffrey’s best season yet as the focal point under Kyle Shanahan’s offense.

McCaffrey is poised to have a huge year in Shanahan’s offense.

2. Ja’Marr Chase (+775), Cincinnati Bengals

Ja’Marr Chase is one of the best WRs in the NFL.

He was able to go over 1,000 receiving yards last year, despite playing in just 12 out of 17 games last year.

Chase had 87 receptions, 1,046 receiving yards, and 9 receiving TDs last season.

He is one of the best downfield threats in the league and has tremendous speed.

Chase was tied for sixth in receiving TDs last season but played 3-5 fewer games than those with more last season.

If he was able to play all 17 games, Chase would have been top two in receiving TDs and possibly could have led the league.

He is one of the best deep threats in the league and if he can stay healthy, he will have another monster season with star QB Joe Burrow throwing him the ball.

3. Justin Jefferson (+1200), Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson won the Offensive Player Of The Year award last season.

He led the NFL in receptions, receiving yards, receptions that went 20+ yards, and receiving targets last season.

Jefferson had 128 catches, 1,809 receiving yards, and eight receiving TDs last year.

Jefferson made one of the greatest plays of all time in a week 10 contest last year against the Buffalo Bills.

Here is the play Jefferson made against Buffalo.

He will once again be the focal point of Minnesota’s offense.

Jefferson has solidified himself as the best WR in the NFL and is looking to repeat as NFL Offensive Player Of The Year.

4. Nick Chubb (+1400), Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb is the second RB on the list of favorites to win NFL Offensive Player Of The Year.

He was third in the league last year with 1,525 rushing yards and tied for third with 12 rushing TDs.

Chubb will be in line for a lot more work this season after the departure of Kareem Hunt.

He is one of the best pure rushers in the league, averaging 5.0 yards per attempt or better in each of his first five seasons in the league.

One thing Chubb has not done much is catch the ball.

He has not recorded more than 40 receptions in any season and has recorded less than 30 receptions in four out of five seasons in the league.

With the departure of Hunt, Chubb could be asked to be more of a receiving back as well this season.

Chubb could be in store for more touches in 2023 and have his best season yet.

5. Lamar Jackson (+1800), Baltimore Ravens

When Lamar Jackson is actually on the field, he is one of the best QBs in the league.

Unfortunately for Jackson, he has played in just 12 games in each of the last two seasons.

Last year, he had a 91.1 QB rating, 2,242 passing yards, 17 passing TDs, 7 INTs, 764 rushing yards, and 3 rushing TDs.

He is one of the best-running QBs in the NFL and has better offensive weapons at his disposal this season.

Baltimore signed WR Odell Beckham Jr and drafted WR Zay Flowers in the first round.

Jackson signed a massive new deal with the Ravens in the offseason and is primed to have his best season yet if he can remain healthy.

6. Joe Burrow (+1800), Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow has led the Cincinnati Bengals to back-to-back AFC Championship games and two years ago, he led the Bengals to the Super Bowl.

He has solidified himself as one of the best QBs in the league, with many viewing him as the second-best QB after Patrick Mahomes.

Last season, Burrow was fifth in passing yards, tied for second in passing TDs, and completed 68.3% of his passes.

Unfortunately, Burrow is not entering the season healthy.

He suffered a calf strain that will sideline him for all of training camp and preseason.

It is expected Burrow will be able to suit up in week 1 but this injury could linger throughout the season.

Time will tell if this injury will bother Burrow during the season but he is not entering the 2023 NFL season the way he would want to.

At full strength, Burrow is one of the best QBs in the league with two top weapons at WR in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.

7. Tyreek Hill (+2200), Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill had a monster season last year with the Dolphins.

He had 119 receptions, 1,710 receiving yards, and 7 receiving TDs.

Hill ranked second in receptions and receiving yards last season.

He did all this with star QB Tua Tagovailoa playing in just 13 games and was knocked out of one early.

In 13 games that Tua was under center, Hill had 100+ receiving yards in six of those 13 games.

Hill also recorded 177 receiving yards in a game Tua missed last year.

Had Tua played all 17 games last year, Hill may have had over 2,000 receiving yards.

If Tua can remain on the field this year, 2,000 receiving yards for Hill is very possible.

Hill is poised to have another monster season if Tua can stay healthy.

8. Austin Ekeler (+2200), Los Angeles Chargers

Austin Ekeler’s role with the Chargers is similar to Christian McCaffrey’s role with the 49ers.

Ekeler does it all for the Chargers.

He is excellent in the ground game and also has tremendous receiving skills.

While Ekeler only had 915 rushing yards last year, he was tied for second in the league with 13 rushing TDs.

Ekeler also added 107 receptions, 722 receiving yards, and 5 receiving TDs.

He ranked fifth in the league in receptions.

Ekeler signed a new one-year deal with the Chargers that is based heavily on incentives.

The Chargers added $1.75 million in incentives for the final season on Ekeler’s contract.

With incentives on the line, Ekeler is poised to put up big offensive numbers in the 2023 NFL season.

9. Stefon Diggs (+2200), Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs has proven each year he remains one of the best WRs and route runners in the league.

Last season was no different for the star wideout.

Diggs had 108 receptions, 1,429 receiving yards, and 11 receiving TDs.

He ranked fourth in receptions, fifth in receiving yards, and tied for third in receiving TDs last year.

Diggs has major chemistry with Josh Allen and they form one of the best QB/WR duos in the league.

In three seasons with the Bills, Diggs has recorded over 100 receptions and over 1,200 receiving yards in each of the three seasons.

He has consistently been one of the best WRs in the league and this season will be no different.

Diggs will once again have over 100 receptions and over 1,200 receiving yards for a fourth straight season with Josh Allen and the Bills.

10. Jonathan Taylor (+2200), Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor is listed as the 10th favorite on BetOnline but there is a possibility Taylor does not even play a snap in 2023.

There is a major dispute between Taylor and owner Jim Irsay.

Taylor requested a trade but Irsay denied the request and may put Taylor on the non-football injury list (NFI).

That move would effectively bar him from participating in games for the foreseeable future and could have an impact on how much money he could reel in this season.

There are also conflicting reports of Taylor having a back injury.

The Colts are saying he suffered a back injury but Taylor tweeted that is false.

All of this is brewing and could possibly lead up to Taylor not playing in 2023.

When Taylor does play, he is one of the best RBs in the league.

Time will tell if Taylor gets a new contract, decides to just suit up and play, decides to sit out the 2023 NFL season, or if the Colts choose to put Taylor on the NFI list.

NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Candidates To Avoid

In this section, we will list three players to avoid taking that are the top 10 favorites to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Joe Burrow (+1800), Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow is one of the best QBs in the NFL.

However, Burrow is not entering the season in full health.

He suffered a calf strain that will sideline him for all of training camp and preseason.

It is expected Burrow will be able to suit up in week 1 but this injury could linger throughout the season.

Another reason Burrow may not be a good bet for OPOY is if he does have a tremendous season, he will more likely be a contender for MVP instead.

Burrow is a risky bet to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Lamar Jackson (+1800), Baltimore Ravens

Whenever Lamar Jackson is healthy and on the field, he is an elite QB.

Unfortunately for Jackson, he has played in just 12 games in each of the last two seasons.

The Ravens got Jackson better offensive weapons but it is far from certain Jackson can stay healthy.

With injuries being a major risk for Jackson, he is a risky bet to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Jonathan Taylor (+2200), Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor carries way too much risk to be considered the 10th favorite to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

It is not even certain he will play a snap this season.

The Colts threatened to put him on the NFI list, which would put him out of action for the foreseeable future.

All of this makes Taylor too risky to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Best Bets To Win NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Award

In this section, we will list three players that are the best bets to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

One will be a favorite, the second will be better value but still a top 10 favorite, and the other is a dark horse player that is not listed as a top 10 favorite to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Christian McCaffrey (+750), San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey is the odds-on favorite to win the NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

In Kyle Shanahan’s system, McCaffrey is a perfect fit with his rushing and receiving abilities.

He had a very good season with the 49ers after being traded from the Carolina Panthers.

In 10 games started and 11 total games played with the 49ers, McCaffrey had 746 rushing yards, six rushing TDs, 52 receptions, 464 receiving yards, and four receiving TDs.

In his second year with the team and question marks surrounding the QB position, McCaffrey will be a workhorse once again.

If he can remain healthy, which has been a challenge for McCaffrey over the year, he is going to put up monster numbers.

McCaffrey at +750 odds is a tremendous bet to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Tyreek Hill (+2200), Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill had 119 receptions, 1,710 receiving yards, and 7 receiving TDs last year.

Hill ranked second in receptions and receiving yards last season.

Tua played in just 13 games, which includes one game in which he was knocked out early.

In 13 games that Tua was under center, Hill had 100+ receiving yards in six games.

He has great chemistry with Tua and they form an excellent QB/WR combination.

If Tua can remain on the field this year, 2,000 receiving yards for Hill is very possible.

At +2200 odds, Hill is a superb bet to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

Garrett Wilson (+2800), New York Jets

Garrett Wilson is the 18th favorite, according to BetOnline to win the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award.

This is a darkhorse choice but Wilson is coming off an excellent rookie season, which saw him win the 2022 NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year award.

In his rookie season, Wilson had 83 receptions, 1,103 receiving yards, and 4 receiving TDs.

He produced that in his rookie year with one of the worst QB play in the league.

Wilson will now have Aaron Rodgers under center throwing him the ball.

This is a major upgrade at QB and Wilson is primed to have a monster 2023 season.

Recording 100+ receptions, 1,500+ receiving yards, and 10+ receiving TDs are very possible for Wilson in his second year.

If you want a favorite to bet on, McCaffrey at +750 odds is a great bet.

For those who want a player among the top 10 favorites to win the award but is a longer shot, Tyreek Hill at +2200 odds is a great value.

However, if you want a dark horse but with a very realistic chance of winning the 2023 NFL Offensive Player Of The Year award, Garrett Wilson at +2800 is an excellent bet.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award Winners

Since 1972, the NFL has recognized the league’s best offensive player with the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award.

During that span, only eight players have won the award more than once.

Running backs Marshall Falk and Earl Campbell are the only players to win the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award three times.

Six other players have won the award twice (Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Terrell Davis, Barry Sanders, and Jerry Rice).

Last season, Vikings’ wide receiver Justin Jefferson won the NFL Offensive Player of the Year after leading the league in receptions and receiving yards.

Check out the complete list of NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award winners below.

Year Player Position Team
2022 Justin Jefferson Wide receiver Minnesota Vikings
2021 Cooper Kupp Wide receiver Los Angeles Rams
2020 Derrick Henry Running back Tennessee Titans
2019 Michael Thomas Wide receiver New Orleans Saints
2018 Patrick Mahomes Quarterback Kansas City Chiefs
2017 Todd Gurley Running back Los Angeles Rams
2016 Matt Ryan Quarterback Atlanta Falcons
2015 Cam Newton Quarterback Carolina Panthers
2014 DeMarco Murray Running back Dallas Cowboys
2013 Peyton Manning (2) Quarterback Denver Broncos
2012 Adrian Peterson Running back Minnesota Vikings
2011 Drew Brees (2) Quarterback New Orleans Saints
2010 Tom Brady (2) Quarterback New England Patriots
2009 Chris Johnson Running back Tennessee Titans
2008 Drew Brees Quarterback New Orleans Saints
2007 Tom Brady Quarterback New England Patriots
2006 LaDainian Tomlinson Running back San Diego Chargers
2005 Shaun Alexander Running back Seattle Seahawks
2004 Peyton Manning Quarterback Indianapolis Colts
2003 Jamal Lewis Running back Baltimore Ravens
2002 Priest Holmes Running back Kansas City Chiefs
2001 Marshall Faulk (3) Running back St. Louis Rams
2000 Marshall Faulk (2) Running back St. Louis Rams
1999 Marshall Faulk Running back St. Louis Rams
1998 Terrell Davis (2) Running back Denver Broncos
1997 Barry Sanders (2) Running back Detroit Lions
1996 Terrell Davis Running back Denver Broncos
1995 Brett Favre Quarterback Green Bay Packers
1994 Barry Sanders Running back Detroit Lions
1993 Jerry Rice (2) Wide receiver San Francisco 49ers
1992 Steve Young Quarterback San Francisco 49ers
1991 Thurman Thomas Running back Buffalo Bills
1990 Warren Moon Quarterback Houston Oilers
1989 Joe Montana Quarterback San Francisco 49ers
1988 Roger Craig Running back San Francisco 49ers
1987 Jerry Rice Wide receiver San Francisco 49ers
1986 Eric Dickerson Running back Los Angeles Rams
1985 Marcus Allen Running back Los Angeles Raiders
1984 Dan Marino Quarterback Miami Dolphins
1983 Joe Theismann Quarterback Washington Redskins
1982 Dan Fouts Quarterback San Diego Chargers
1981 Ken Anderson Quarterback Cincinnati Bengals
1980 Earl Campbell (3) Running back Houston Oilers
1979 Earl Campbell (2) Running back Houston Oilers
1978 Earl Campbell Running back Houston Oilers
1977 Walter Payton Running back Chicago Bears
1976 Bert Jones Quarterback Baltimore Colts
1975 Fran Tarkenton Quarterback Minnesota Vikings
1974 Ken Stabler Quarterback Oakland Raiders
1973 O. J. Simpson Running back Buffalo Bills
1972 Larry Brown Running back Washington Redskins

NFL OPOY Award Winners by Position

Quarterbacks have dominated the discussions surrounding NFL MVP but that hasn’t been the case with the Offensive Player of the Year Award.

Running backs have won the award 26 times, more than any other position, followed by 20 wins by quarterbacks.

On the other hand, a tight end has never won Offensive Player of the Year and only four wide receivers have ever won the NFL OPOY (Jerry Rice 2x, Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, and Justin Jefferson).

Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, and Justin Jefferson have taken home NFL Offensive Player of the Year in three of the past four seasons. Prior to that, Jerry Rice was the only pass catcher to ever in the NFL OPOY.

Check out the breakdown of NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award winners by position.

Position OPOY Winners
Running back 26
Quarterback 20
Wide receiver 5

NFL Players To Win MVP and OPOY In The Same Season

The NFL MVP and NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award used to go hand in hand.

In the first 20 years after the award was introduced, 14 players won the Offensive Player of the Year and NFL MVP Award in the same season.

However, things have changed over the last three decades.

Since 1993, only 11 players have won the NFL MVP and OPOY Award in the same season and six of those players have been running backs.

Peyton Manning was the last player to accomplish the feat in 2013, meaning an NFL player has not won both awards in nine seasons.

Check out the list of players to win NFL MVP and NFL Offensive Player of the Year in the same year below.

Player Season Team
Peyton Manning 2013 Denver Broncos
Adrian Peterson 2012 Minnesota Vikings
Tom Brady 2010 New England Patriots
Tom Brady 2007 New England Patriots
LaDainian Tomlinson 2006 San Diego Chargers
Shaun Alexander 2005 Seattle Seahawks
Peyton Manning 2004 Indianapolis Colts
Marshall Faulk 2000 St. Louis Rams
Terrell Davis 1998 Denver Broncos
Barry Sanders 1997 Detroit Lions
Brett Favre 1995 Green Bay Packers
Steve Young 1992 San Francisco 49ers
Thurman Thomas 1991 Buffalo Bills
Joe Montana 1989 San Francisco 49ers
Marcus Allen 1985 Los Angeles Raiders
Dan Marino 1984 Miami Dolphins
Joe Theismann 1983 Washington Redskins
Ken Anderson 1981 Cincinnati Bengals
Earl Campbell 1979 Houston Oilers
Walter Payton 1977 Chicago Bears
Bert Jones 1976 Baltimore Colts
Fran Tarkenton 1975 Minnesota Vikings
Ken Stabler 1974 Oakland Raiders
O.J. Simpson 1973 Buffalo Bills
Larry Brown 1972 Washington Redskins
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