Our Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Guide

Making the correct NFL picks against the spread is no easy task. However, our team of experts has put together a complete guide that should help you increase your success rate when picking against the spread.

In this guide, we’ll review what NFL picks against the spread mean, how they work, and offer insight and analysis to help you make the most informed decisions when betting the spread during the NFL season.

The Latest NFL Picks Today

Are you looking for the best NFL against the spread picks? Look no further as we have you covered. Be sure to save this page and check back each week to find the best against the spread picks for each and every NFL game.

2022-23 NFL Favorites

The 2022-23 NFL season is underway which means the odds to win the Super Bowl this season will be changing week to week based on each team’s record and performance. Below are the most up-to-date NFL odds for each team to win the Super Bowl. We suggest that you shop around at each sportsbook as odds tend to fluctuate.

Team BetOnline Logo Our Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Guide Our Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Guide Our Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Guide Bovada Logo sportsbetting.ag logo
KC Chiefs +425 +390 +390 +425 +425 +425
LV Raiders +15000 +26000 +26000 +15000 +20000 +15000
DEN Broncos +100000 +90000 +90000 +100000 +100000 +100000
LA Chargers +4000 +3500 +3500 +4500 +2800 +4000
BUF Bills +450 +410 +410 +450 +450 +450
MIA Dolphins +1400 +1425 +1425 +1400 +1500 +1400
NE Patriots +10000 +8500 +8500 +10000 +10000 +10000
NY Jets +6600 +6600 +6600 +8000 +8000 +6600
BAL Ravens +1600 +1550 +1550 +1600 +1800 +1600
PIT Steelers +50000 +55000 +55000 +50000 +80000 +50000
CLE Browns +20000 +20000 +20000 +20000 +20000 +20000
CIN Bengals +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500
HOU Texans +200000 +175000 +175000 +100000 +100000 +200000
TEN Titans +3300 +2800 +2800 +2800 +3000 +3300
IND Colts +25000 +24000 +24000 +25000 +30000 +25000
JAX Jaguars +20000 +18000 +18000 +20000 +20000 +20000
DAL Cowboys +900 +1025 +1025 +1000 +1000 +900
NY Giants +8000 +8000 +8000 +8000 +8000 +8000
PHI Eagles +550 +600 +600 +550 +600 +550
WAS Commanders +10000 +9000 +9000 +10000 +12500 +10000
CHI Bears +100000 +100000 +100000 +100000 +100000 +100000
GB Packers +12500 +12000 +12000 +12500 +15000 +12500
DET Lions +15000 +19000 +19000 +15000 +25000 +15000
MIN Vikings +1800 +1725 +1725 +1800 +1600 +1800
CAR Panthers +75000 +75000 +75000 +50000 +100000 +75000
ATL Falcons +15000 +14000 +14000 +15000 +15000 +15000
NO Saints +15000 +14000 +14000 +15000 +15000 +15000
TB Buccaneers +1800 +1725 +1725 +1800 +1800 +1800
LA Rams +25000 +18000 +18000 +25000 +20000 +25000
SF 49ers +600 +720 +720 +700 +650 +600
ARI Cardinals +30000 +24000 +24000 +25000 +20000 +30000
SEA Seahawks +5000 +5000 +5000 +5000 +5000 +5000

The Sports Daily NFL Expert Picks & Predictions

Whether you are looking for NFL picks against the spread or other NFL weekly predictions we have the best of the best reviewing each and every game to help you make your picks. Below are a few of our picks for key events this NFL season.

NFL Picks for the Super Bowl Winner 

Coming into the season there were two frontrunners to reach the Super Bowl. In the AFC, the Buffalo Bills were preseason favorites to win the AFC conference championship game and reach the Super Bowl. In the NFC, many experts had the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning the NFC and playing for what would likely be Tom Brady’s last Super Bowl.

However, the odds for each team to win the Super Bowl will undoubtedly change as the 2022-23 season progresses. There might not be a clear favorite until we reach Thanksgiving as anything can happen during the early going of the NFL Season.

With that said, our top pick to win the Super Bowl is the Buffalo Bills. The Bills are a complete team on both offense and defense and quarterback Josh Allen is playing at an MVP-caliber level. Look for Diggs and Allen to lead the team on offense and the defense will almost certainly show up each week. There is a long way to go but the Bills look to be one collision course for the Super Bowl in 2023.

What are NFL Picks?

NFL picks are predictions of a game result between two individual teams. Each week there are NFL games on Thursday, Sunday, and Monday, and sometimes Saturday during December. Our team of experts carefully reviews each matchup and makes picks and predictions on who will win and why.

Each NFL pick is rooted in research and we pride ourselves on doing the necessary work to understand each team’s roster, injury reports, and offensive and defensive trends. In addition to making NFL picks, we also have insight on the betting odds for each week’s matchups.

NFL Picks Against the Spread

NFL picks just don’t always just refer to the straight-up winner and loser of each game. In NFL betting there are point spread odds, which are controlled by sportsbooks in an effort to make the betting matchup more even. Simply put, the NFL spread levels the playing field between the favored team and the underdog team.

Picking the NFL spread correctly doesn’t necessarily mean your team needs to win the game. For example, if the San Francisco 49ers are -7 favorites against the Seattle Seahawks and you bet the 49ers, they would need to win the game by 8 points or more to cover the spread. If they won by 7 points exactly your bet would be a tie, which would result in a refund. And, if they won by 6 or less, or lost the game, you’d lose your bet.

Conversely, if you were to bet the Seahawks at +7 points, you could win your bet if the Seahawks lost by 6 points or fewer, or won the game outright. If they lose by 8 points or more, you would lose your bet and if they lost by 7 exactly the bet would result in a tie or refund.

NFL picks against the spread are always carefully evaluated here at The Sports Daily. They are a great way to maximize your sports betting bankroll and potentially win more picks and predictions.

NFL Picks and Parlays

Another popular NFL pick type is parlay bets. Parlay bets combine several bets into one betting ticket. In order for you to win your parlay bet each selection must be correct. If there is one losing selection, you will lose your overall parlay bet.

An example of NFL picks and parlays is if you were to bet the Buffalo Bills -7, Philadelphia Eagles, -5.5, and the Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5. Here, each against the spread bet must be a winner for you to win your NFL parlay. If any of your spread bets are ties, the sportsbook will remove that bet from your parlay and only consider the remaining bets. In this scenario, odds will be adjusted.

To come up with the best NFL parlay picks, our team of experts looks at individual team matchups, previous results, injuries, and more. Each parlay pick is studied and diligently decided on. They may not always be winners but if you were to hit one parlay you likely will win hundreds if not thousands of dollars due to the increased odds and potential payout.

Best NFL Betting Sites

Now that you are becoming an expert on NFL picks and NFL picks against the spread you will need to find the best sportsbook to bet on NFL games. Below, we’ve listed our picks for the best football betting sites.

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Where to Find NFL Expert Picks

If you are looking for the best NFL picks against the spread or the best NFL predictions in general, then be sure to scroll up to our latest NFL picks for this week. And be sure to check back weekly as we release NFL picks each week before the NFL week commences.

Other than our expert picks, you may want to browse sites such as YouTube or Twitter for the latest news from around the league. Furthermore, NFL beat reports may provide weekly picks, which are always helpful to reference as they are close to different locker rooms from around the league.

And lastly, sportsbooks such as BetUS and BetOnline offer free resources and tips from time to time, which can be helpful when determining which NFL picks is the one you’d like to bet on.

How we Make NFL Picks and Predictions

As we’ve mentioned throughout this guide, our team takes pride in the process we go through before making weekly NFL picks and picks against the spread. Below are just a few things we do each week before making our picks.

Study Form

First and foremost, we will study each team’s roster and their current play. We try to determine what each team is doing well and what they need to work on. For instance, if one team has shown improvement running the football, we will dig deeper into why – is it their play calling, their offensive line, etc? Then, we will assess how they will perform against their next opponent and how these improvements will play a role.

Head-to-Head Record

Another key detail we review is the historical head-to-head record between each team, quarterbacks, and/or head coaches. If teams have a history with one another we can try to identify patterns of play, strengths, weaknesses, and more.

Assess Injuries

An absolutely crucial detail that our team monitors throughout the week are the injury reports and practice reports. Oftentimes, NFL games can be won or lost due to injuries, especially at skill positions. We will monitor each team’s injury report as best as we can and factor any news into our weekly picks.

New Additions

Throughout the season NFL teams shift and change their roster either via a trade or internally. If a team calls up a player from the practice squad, gets a key player back from an injury, or makes a trade we will be sure to note that during our research phase and then analyze how the team’s play on the field may or may not be impacted.

Check the Odds

Making the best NFL picks against the spread or NFL predictions in general doesn’t just come down to picking the right winner. One other key part of the process is shopping around for the best NFL odds. We scour each sportsbook to find the best NFL odds and NFL odds against the spread before making our picks. And we always try to recommend the best sportsbook with favorable odds.

Make Our Prediction

After completing all of the above steps we arrive at a conclusion. At the end of the day, you can choose to follow our NFL picks for the week or try to make the right picks on your own. But one thing is for sure, our team puts in the necessary work to make thoughtful NFL picks and predictions.

FAQs

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