The Livest Dog at UFC 259: Kyler Phillips

ufc 259 draftkings
The Livest Dog at UFC 259: Kyler Phillips
Feb 29, 2020; Norfolk, Virginia, USA; Gabriel Silva (red gloves) fights Kyler Phillips (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Chartway Arena. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports

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Name: Kyler Phillips

Opponent: Song Yadong

Odds: +130 (bet $100 to win $130)

The reason for Kyler Phillips to come in as an underdog here is obvious – he has yet to face a step up in competition to the level of Song Yadong. Yadong, on the other hand, has faced a lot of people at a similar level to Kyler, but that is actually where I see value in this line.

In his bouts with people who can match his physicality (like I expect Phillips to do), he’s struggled. Both Marlon Vera and Cody Stamann outgrappled him. While it didn’t go down as a loss, I believe that Stamann should have walked away with a decision in that fight. I think a lot of this comes from the fact that Yadong, at such a young age and being so athletic, has gotten by without being super technical. As a result, when he is met with equal strength, he has trouble dealing with the greater technique. I expect that to happen in this fight as well.

 

2021 Record: 0-6 (1 withdrawal)
Earnings (based on $100 bet/event): -($600)
Return on Investment: -100%

2018-20 Record: 45-72 (+1.1%)

 

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