Inside the numbers: a breakdown of Ryan Tannehill

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For a player who has been as inconsistent as Ryan Tannehill has been, it has been a struggle to find some consistencies in identifying where he stands out and where he falters when it comes to wins and losses. For starters, he is 10-9 when playing at home and 8-11 when playing away. Ideally, you would really like the number of wins at home to dwarf the away wins, unless of course they are both ridiculously good. Below is a breakdown of Tannehill’s rookie season

2012 Home

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2012 Away

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As you can see nothing really stands out as far as consistency. At home he had a better QB Rating but he threw for more yards away.

Moving on to the 2013 season, Tannehill was pretty much consistent as far as the way he played at home and away. Below you can see he was just a tad bit better at home.

2013 Home

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2013 Away

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While the 2014 season is still relatively new, Tannehill has played much better away from home. His last two away games (including versus the Raiders in London) he has thrown at least 14 consecutive completed passes. That alone is reason for a renewed confidence and hope in the young quarterback. Below, you can see the difference.

2014 Home

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2014 Away

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Overall, Tannehill has been very even keeled. He has better averages at home but has had his highest single game yardage and rating at away games. You can see how close his career numbers are below

Career Home

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Career Away

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While it is always nice to see breakdowns, everyone can agree that it doesn’t really matter whether he is playing at home or away, all that really matters is that he produces and the team is winning. But if you are looking for a benchmark for him. There are three stats that really stand out to me. The first is not turning the ball over. Obviously, that is a given for any quarterback. In Tannehill’s case, the team is 10-6 when he throws zero interceptions.

The second is 250 plus yard games. When he passes the 250 mark, the team is 8-4. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see the team performs better when he is on a roll.

And now to the most significant stat. Fifteen times Tannehill has had a QB rating of 90 plus. The Dolphins are 14-1 during those games.

QB Rating 90+

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So if you are keeping count, whether he is playing at home or away, historically if he throws zero interceptions, throwing for 250 plus and has a quarterback rating of 90 or higher very good things are going to happen for this team. Quick prediction time. Tannehill keeps the hot hand and the Dolphins continue to roll, beating the Jaguars 35-10. Phins Up!

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