Andrew Beyer Kentucky Derby Picks 2022 | Expert Kentucky Derby Predictions 2022

Andrew Beyer Kentucky Derby Picks 2022 | Expert Kentucky Derby Predictions

The 2022 Kentucky Derby is scheduled for Saturday, May 7. Coverage begins at 2:30 p.m. ET. The final race is set for 6:57 p.m. ET. Free Andrew Beyer Kentucky Derby picks and predictions are available below.

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Andrew Beyers Kentucky Derby Pick: Bet White Abarrio (+1150)
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Saturday’s race at Churchill Downs will be the 148th running of the Kentucky Derby. Twenty horses are competing in this historical event.

Horse racing expert Andrew Beyers made his Kentucky Derby Pick. For his best bet, Beyers didn’t pick the Kentucky Derby favorites.

We’ll go over two of Andrew Beyers Kentucky Derby picks below:

The 2022 Kentucky Derby can be watched live on NBCSports.com, USA Network, Peacock, NBC and the NBC Sports app.


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2022 Kentucky Derby Post Positions, Horses, Jockeys, and Trainers

The post position draw doesn’t always have a major effect on the race, but in 2022, it significantly altered the Kentucky Derby odds. Kentucky Derby favorite Epicenter received an unfavorable draw at post No. 3 while Mo Donegal was even further inside on the rail at post No. 1.

Over the last 44 years, only three horses have won the Kentucky Derby from the innermost three positions, so it’s no surprise that both horses have seen their odds get longer since the post position draw.

Emerging with post No. 10 was a major win for Zandon, along with jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Chad Brown. Post 10 has produced nine Kentucky Derby winners, the second-most all-time. As a result, Zandon’s odds to win the Run for the Roses shortened from +700 to +500 at the best horse racing betting sites.

Meanwhile, Taiba will also be near the middle of the pack in post No. 12. The most expensive horse in the Kentucky Derby, Taiba is inexperienced but has the speed and pedigree of a Derby winner.
Ethereal Road, trained by D. Wayne Lukas, was forced to drop out of the Kentucky Derby, drawing in Rich Strike, who will start in his place. Rich Strike, who is jockeyed by Sonny Leon and trained by Eric Reed, will try to burst out of the gate from post position 20.

Let’s go over the 2022 Kentucky Derby post positions, along with the horses, jockeys, and trainers that will be competing on Saturday.

Post

Horse Jockey

Trainer

1

Mo Donegal Irad Ortiz Jr. Todd Pletcher
2 Happy Jack Rafael Bejarano

Doug O’Neill

3

Epicenter Joel Rosario Steve Asmussen
4 Summer Is Tomorrow Mikael Barzalona

Bhupat Seemar

5

Smile Happy Corey Lanerie Kenny McPeek
6 Messier John Velazquez

Tim Yakteen

7

Crown Pride Christophe Lemaire Koichi Shintani
8 Charge It Luis Saez

Todd Pletcher

9

Tiz the Bomb Brian Hernandez Jr. Kenny McPeek
10 Zandon Flavien Prat

Chad Brown

11

Pioneer of Medina Joe Bravo Todd Pletcher
12 Taiba Mike Smith

Tim Yakteen

13

Simplification Jose Ortiz Antonio Sano
14 Barber Road Reylu Gutierrez

John Ortiz

15

White Abarrio Tyler Gaffalione Saffie Joseph Jr.
16 Cyberknife Florent Geroux

Brad Cox

17

Classic Causeway Julien Leparoux Brian Lynch
18 Tawny Port Ricardo Santana Jr.

Brad Cox

19

Zozos Manny Franco Brad Cox
20 Rich Strike Sonny Leon

Eric Reed

Updated Kentucky Derby Odds | The Best Kentucky Derby 2022 Odds

The stage is set for the 148th running of the Kentucky Derby today at Churchill Downs.

The 2022 Kentucky Derby will be moving forward without longtime horse trainer Bob Baffert, who is in the midst of serving a 90-day suspension handed down by the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission. A six-time Kentucky Derby winning trainer, Baffert initially had been training two of the betting favorites in the Run for the Roses.

Instead, horses Taiba and Messier will be trained and tended to by former assistant Tim Yakteen. Taiba will try to become the first horse since 1883 to win the Kentucky Derby with two or fewer starts.

Among the 10 horses with as little horse racing experience as Taiba (+700), none have come close to winning the Kentucky Derby. The average margin of defeat has been 25 lengths.

While Taiba and Messier are among the best horses in the Kentucky Derby field, Steve Asmussen-trained Epicenter (+500) enters Kentucky Derby 2022 as the odds-on betting favorite. After securing post 10 in the post position draw, Zandon has seen his Kentucky Derby odds shorten to as low as +500 and has become the co-favorite over the last few days.

White Abarrio, Charge It, and Smile Happy have also seen their Kentucky Derby odds move since the post position draw.

Charge It appears to be one of the longshots with a legitimate chance to win on derby day. Breaking from post No. 8, his odds have moved down significantly since the morning line odds were set. While his inexperience cost him in a loss to White Abarrio in the Florida Derby, Charge has the makings of a horse that has yet to reach its peak potential and will be a popular bet, especially on exotic Kentucky Derby wagers.

Check out the table below for the best Kentucky Derby odds from BetOnline, one of the best horse racing betting sites.

Kentucky Derby Odds BetOnline Sportsbook MyBookie Racebook BetUS logo
Epicenter +500 +500 +450
Zandon +500 +550 +500
Taiba +700 +550 +750
Messier +800 +600 +900
White Abarrio +1000 +1025 +1150
Mo Donegal +1200 +1230 +900
Charge It +1600 +1415 +1350
Smile Happy +1600 +1635 +1700
Cyberknife +2200 +1840 +2000
Crown Pride +2500 +1500 +2800
Simplification +2500 +2600 +2100
Zozos +2500 +3120 +2200
Tiz The Bomb +3300 +3120 +2700
Classic Causeway +3300 +3300 +3300
Tawny Port +3300 +5500 +3500
Barber Road +3300 +3700 +3600
Pioneer of Medina +4000 +4050 +3100
Summer Is Tomorrow +6600 +9000 +6500
Rich Strike +6600 +5500 +6100
Happy Jack +6600 +7500 +6000

*all Kentucky Derby Odds as of May 06, 2022

Kentucky Derby Prop Bets | Kentucky Derby 2022 Props

At the best offshore betting sites, horse players can bet on more than just the Kentucky Derby 2022 winner. In fact, the best horse racing betting sites offer Kentucky Derby prop bets for every in the field at Churchill Downs. Horse racing fans can bet on the finishing position of select horses, whether there will be a Triple Crown winner in 2022, and which horse will finish in last place in the 2022 Kentucky Derby, among many other selections.

Below, we’ll break down some of the best and most exotic Kentucky Derby prop bets available at BetOnline, one of the top horse racing betting sites.

Brad Cox to Train the Kentucky Derby Winner | Kentucky Derby Prop Bet

Brad Cox has three horses in the Kentucky Derby but none of them enter the Kentucky Derby as contenders to win the race. Cyberknife is the Cox-trained horse with the best Kentucky Derby odds, followed by Zozos and Tawny Port.

BetOnline is offering a Kentucky Derby prop bet for any of Cox’s horses to win the 148th Run for the Roses at +800 odds. For a complete breakdown of this exclusive Kentucky Derby prop bet, check out the odds below.

B H Cox to Train the Winner Kentucky Derby Odds Play
No -1200 BetOnline logo
Yes +800 BetOnline logo

Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet

Betting on the finishing position is one of the best Kentucky Derby props available for Saturday’s race. Bettors can minimize their risk by narrowing down the field and selecting which horse will have the best finishing position among the group.

BetOnline is offering odds for the best finishing position between Epicenter, Taiba, and Zandon. Epicenter (+150) and Zandon (+170) are closely priced while Taiba (+200) offers some added value for this particular Kentucky Derby prop bet.

For a complete breakdown of the Kentucky Derby odds, scroll down below.

Best Finishing Position Kentucky Derby Odds Play
Epicenter +150 BetOnline logo
Zandon +170 BetOnline logo
Taiba +200 BetOnline logo

Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet

BetOnline allows horse players to bet on more than just the top Kentucky Derby contenders.

For this next group, bettors can select the horse that will have the best finishing position between Messier (+150), White Abarrio (+170), and Mo Donegal (+200).

Mo Donegal could have a tough time getting out of the gates cleanly from post 1 while Messier has not proven to be a great finisher, which could leave some added value on Florida Derby-winner White Abarrio in this group.

Before you make your Kentucky Derby picks, check out the horse racing odds from BetOnline below.

Best Finishing Position Kentucky Derby Odds Play
Messier +150 BetOnline logo
White Abarrio +170 BetOnline logo
Mo Donegal +200 BetOnline logo

Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet

In addition to betting on the best Kentucky Derby horses, BetOnline also offers odds for the best finishing position among some of the longshots and sleeper picks too.

A few horses have emerged as potential sleeper picks in the 2022 Kentucky Derby.

Horse racing experts have been all over Charge It, Crown Pride, and Simplification heading into the 148th Run for the Roses on Saturday. At +145, Charge It has the best odds to finish first in the group while Japanese horse Crown Pride is priced competitively at +185 and Simplification has the longest odds at +215.

For a complete breakdown of the finishing position odds from BetOnline, check out the chart below.

Best Finishing Position Kentucky Derby Odds Play
Charge It +145 BetOnline logo
Crown Pride +185 BetOnline logo
Simplification +215 BetOnline logo

Number of Words in Winner’s Name | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet

Every year, the Kentucky Derby attracts new bettors to the sport of kings and the top racebooks have adapted by offering exotic prop bets for Triple Crown races.

One of the most exotic Kentucky Derby prop bets available this year is a wager on the number of words in the winning horse’s name.

The four horses with the best odds to win Kentucky Derby 2022 have just one word in their name, so naturally, BetOnline has one word favored at -240 odds. Meanwhile, the 2022 Kentucky Derby winner to have a name with two words is priced at +165 odds and three words is priced at a whopping +1400 odds.

Among the horses with two words in their name, White Abarrio (+1000) has the best odds to win the Kentucky Derby. Meanwhile, that Tiz the Bomb has the best Kentucky Derby odds among horses with three words in their name.

For the latest Kentucky Derby odds, check out the horse racing prop bets from BetOnline below.

Number of Words in Winner’s Name Kentucky Derby Odds Play
1 Word -240 BetOnline logo
2 Words +165 BetOnline logo
3 Words +1400 BetOnline logo

To Finish Last | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet

In addition to picking the Kentucky Derby 2022 winner, the best online horse racing sites allow horse players to pick which horse will finish last in the race.

As one might expect, the horses with the longest odds to win the Kentucky Derby also have the shortest odds to finish last in the race. Happy Jack offers strong value at +900 to finish last while pacesetter Summer Is Tomorrow also has +900 odds to fall behind the pace.

Below, we’ll break down the odds to finish last in the Kentucky Derby for every horse at Churchill Downs on Saturday.

Kentucky Derby Horses Kentucky Derby Odds Play
Happy Jack +900 BetOnline logo
Summer Is Tomorrow +900 BetOnline logo
Tiz The Bomb +1000 BetOnline logo
Pioneer of Medina +1000 BetOnline logo
Barber Road +1000 BetOnline logo
Classic Causeway +1000 BetOnline logo
Tawny Port +1000 BetOnline logo
Rich Strike +1000 BetOnline logo
Simplification +1200 BetOnline logo
Zozos +1200 BetOnline logo
Cyberknife +1400 BetOnline logo
Crown Pride +1800 BetOnline logo
Charge It +2500 BetOnline logo
Mo Donegal +2800 BetOnline logo
Messier +3300 BetOnline logo
White Abarrio +3300 BetOnline logo
Taiba +4000 BetOnline logo
Epicenter +6600 BetOnline logo
Zandon +6600 BetOnline logo

Will There Be a US Triple Crown Winner in 2022? | Kentucky Derby Prop Bet

No horse can win the Triple Crown without trotting in the winner’s circle at Churchill Downs.

There have been 13 Triple Crown winners in US horse racing history. Justify was the last horse to accomplish the feat after breaking the Curse of Apollo at the Kentucky Derby in 2018. American Pharoah also won the Triple Crown in 2015, but prior to that, there had been no Triple Crown winners since 1978.

This year, BetOnline pegs the chances of a Triple Crown winner at +800 odds.

To get the latest Triple Crown odds, check out the chart below.

Will There Be A Triple Crown Winner? Triple Crown Odds Play
No -2000 BetOnline logo
Yes +800 BetOnline logo

Will There Be An Enquiry? | Kentucky Derby Prop Bet

An enquiry is an investigation held at the racecourse on a race day after any given race. The review system ensures that a race has been fairly run and that there has not been a potential breach of the rules of horse racing.

In 2021, an enquiry found that Medina Spirit and Bob Baffert violated the horse racing rules, leading to runner-up Mandaloun being crowned the eventual winner.

While Baffert will not be attending the 2022 Kentucky Derby due to suspension, could another enquiry be looming after the race at Churchill Downs on Saturday?

Get the latest enquiry odds and Kentucky Derby props from BetOnline below

Will There Be An Enquiry? Kentucky Derby Odds Play
No -4000 BetOnline logo
Yes +2000 BetOnline logo

Kentucky Derby Winning Distance | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bets

The best horse racing sites also offer odds on the winning distance at the Kentucky Derby. Horse players can bet on whether the Kentucky Derby will be won by more, less, or exactly one length.

Despite the fact that the 2022 Kentucky Derby has no clear favorite, BetOnline is offering -105 odds for a winning distance of over one length. Under one length has longer odds at +100 while exactly one length has +1000 odds.

For the latest Kentucky Derby winning distance odds, check out the chart below.

Kentucky Derby Winning Distance Kentucky Derby Odds Play
Over 1 Length -105 BetOnline logo
Under 1 Length +100 BetOnline logo
Exactly 1 Length +1000 BetOnline logo

Kentucky Derby Winning Time | Kentucky Derby Prop Bets

The Kentucky Derby winning time has been speeding up in recent years.

BetOnline, one of the best online racebooks, has the Kentucky Derby 2022 winning time set at 2:02:30, which would be a tick slower than each of the last two years. Last year, official Kentucky Derby 2021 winner Mandaloun ran the 1 ¼ mile race in 2:01:02 while Authentic finished in 2:00:61 in 2020.

Since 2012, the Kentucky Derby winning time has been under 2:02:30 just four times (2021, 2020, 2016, and 2012).

Below, we’ll go over the over/under odds for the Kentucky Derby 2022 winning time.

Kentucky Derby Winning Time Kentucky Derby Odds Play
Over 2:02:30 -750 BetOnline logo
Under 2:02:30 +450 BetOnline logo

Andrew Beyer Kentucky Derby Picks | Andrew Beyer Picks for Kentucky Derby 2022

On Thursday, Andrew “Andy” Beyer and Daily Racing Form analyst Jay Privman discussed the contenders and their predictions for the 2022 Kentucky Derby on YouTube. When asked about Epicenter, Beyer said, “I think this is quite a good horse. I think Steve Asmussen has a very good future training him. But if you look closely, he’s run two good figures in his life and his last two starts.”

However, would Beyer bet on Epicenter to win the race in a 20-horse field? “He might be very good, but I just don’t know. I feel conflicted about a lot of them in this race,” explained Beyer. How about Taiba? Well, the creator of the Beyer Speed Figure (BSF) is more interested in White Abarrio and Summer is Tomorrow.

Below, Andrew Beyer’s best bets and Kentucky Derby predictions will be discussed.

White Abarrio (+1150) at BetOnline at BetOnline | Andrew Beyer Kentucky Derby Predictions

Is White Abarrio ready for a peak performance? At +1150, Beyer likes the odds.

Not to mention, he admires the horse’s speed and stamina. Fresh off of a win in the Florida Derby, White Abarrio is starting at the No. 15 post of Saturday’s race.

Beyer thinks the contender has the potential to finish in the top 3. White Abarrio is three years old, and Saphie Joseph Jr. is the trainer. This horse was bred in Florida by Spendthrift Farm. Of course, Tyler Gaffalione is the jockey.

In February, White Abarrio won the Holy Bull Stakes. His final time was 1:42.80 and he bested two Kentucky Derby contenders: Simplification and Mo Donegal in the race. Then, the horse won the Florida Derby in April, beating Charge It and Simplification as well. His final time at the 1.125-mile race was 1:50.64. White Abarrio’s best BSF is 97.

Bet on White Abarrio to win the Kentucky Derby at +1150 odds by clicking the button below.

 

Summer is Tomorrow (+6600) at BetOnline | Kentucky Derby Predictions 2022

When considering Kentucky Derby longshots, Summer is Tomorrow is another potential contender that Beyer wants bettors to keep an eye on.

His second favorite choice was Epicenter, but he likes riding with an underdog once in a while. The horse is racing at the No. 4 post. A pace-setting horse trained by Bhupat Seemar, Summer Is Tomorrow is expected to get near the front of the pack.

For one notable race, Summer is Tomorrow came in second place of the Grade 2 UAE Derby in March. The horse’s final time was 1:59.76. Crown Pride won the race.

Additionally, so what does a Beyer rating factor in? The scale is based on how fast the horse ran. This is based on the track condition and distance of the race.

Besides helping bettors to pick the winner, it allows horse racing analysts to measure and compare the speeds of horses ran on different tracks. These statistics can be used for races taking place anywhere on any given day of the week.

Unfortunately, Summer is Tomorrow’s best career BSF is unknown. Keep in mind, Epicenter’s best is 102. Also, Taiba and Messier’s best is 103. Betting on White Abarrio sounds like the best bet. Picking Summer is Tomorrow to win the race is quite a gamble but could pay off big if he can keep the pace.

 


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