Andy Serling, the television analyst and handicapper for the New York Racing Association, has made his analysis for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.
1. |
Andy Serling Picks: Bet on Messier (+1000)
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Let’s go over all of the Andy Serling Kentucky Derby 2022 picks, along with where to find the best Kentucky Derby odds for each horse.
- Epicenter (+500) at BetOnline
- Taiba (+750) at BetUS
- Zandon (+525) at MyBookie
- Messier (+1000) at BetOnline
- Cyberknife (+2200) at BetOnline
- Simplification (+2600) at MyBookie
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2022 Kentucky Derby Post Positions, Horses, Jockeys, and Trainers
The post position draw doesn’t always have a major effect on the race, but in 2022, it significantly altered the Kentucky Derby odds. Kentucky Derby favorite Epicenter received an unfavorable draw at post No. 3 while Mo Donegal was even further inside on the rail at post No. 1.
Over the last 44 years, only three horses have won the Kentucky Derby from the innermost three positions, so it’s no surprise that both horses have seen their odds get longer since the draw.
Emerging with post No. 10 was a major win for Zandon, along with jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Chad Brown. Post 10 has produced nine Kentucky Derby winners, the second-most all-time. As a result, Zandon’s odds to win the Run for the Roses shortened from +700 to +500 at the best horse racing betting sites.
Meanwhile, Taiba will also be near the middle of the pack in post No. 12. The most expensive horse in the Kentucky Derby, Taiba is inexperienced but has the speed and pedigree of a Derby winner.
Ethereal Road, trained by D. Wayne Lukas, was forced to drop out of the Kentucky Derby, drawing in Rich Strike, who will start in his place. Rich Strike, who is jockeyed by Sonny Leon and trained by Eric Reed, will try to burst out of the gate from post position 20.
Let’s go over the 2022 Kentucky Derby post positions, along with the horses, jockeys, and trainers that will be competing on Saturday.
Post |
Horse | Jockey |
Trainer |
1 |
Mo Donegal | Irad Ortiz Jr. | Todd Pletcher |
2 | Happy Jack | Rafael Bejarano |
Doug O’Neill |
3 |
Epicenter | Joel Rosario | Steve Asmussen |
4 | Summer Is Tomorrow | Mikael Barzalona |
Bhupat Seemar |
5 |
Smile Happy | Corey Lanerie | Kenny McPeek |
6 | Messier | John Velazquez |
Tim Yakteen |
7 |
Crown Pride | Christophe Lemaire | Koichi Shintani |
8 | Charge It | Luis Saez |
Todd Pletcher |
9 |
Tiz the Bomb | Brian Hernandez Jr. | Kenny McPeek |
10 | Zandon | Flavien Prat |
Chad Brown |
11 |
Pioneer of Medina | Joe Bravo | Todd Pletcher |
12 | Taiba | Mike Smith |
Tim Yakteen |
13 |
Simplification | Jose Ortiz | Antonio Sano |
14 | Barber Road | Reylu Gutierrez |
John Ortiz |
15 |
White Abarrio | Tyler Gaffalione | Saffie Joseph Jr. |
16 | Cyberknife | Florent Geroux |
Brad Cox |
17 |
Classic Causeway | Julien Leparoux | Brian Lynch |
18 | Tawny Port | Ricardo Santana Jr. |
Brad Cox |
19 |
Zozos | Manny Franco | Brad Cox |
20 | Rich Strike | Sonny Leon |
Eric Reed |
Updated Kentucky Derby Odds | The Best Kentucky Derby 2022 Odds
The stage is set for the 148th running of the Kentucky Derby today at Churchill Downs.
The 2022 Kentucky Derby will be moving forward without longtime horse trainer Bob Baffert, who is in the midst of serving a 90-day suspension handed down by the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission. A six-time Kentucky Derby winning trainer, Baffert initially had been training two of the betting favorites in the Run for the Roses.
Instead, horses Taiba and Messier will be trained and tended to by former assistant Tim Yakteen. Taiba will try to become the first horse since 1883 to win the Kentucky Derby with two or fewer starts.
Among the 10 horses with as little horse racing experience as Taiba (+700), none have come close to winning the Kentucky Derby. The average margin of defeat has been 25 lengths.
While Taiba and Messier are among the best horses in the Kentucky Derby field, Steve Asmussen-trained Epicenter (+500) enters Kentucky Derby 2022 as the odds-on betting favorite. After securing post 10 in the post position draw, Zandon has seen his Kentucky Derby odds shorten to as low as +500 and has become the co-favorite over the last few days.
White Abarrio, Charge It, and Smile Happy have also seen their Kentucky Derby odds move since the post position draw.
Charge It appears to be one of the longshots with a legitimate chance to win on derby day. Breaking from post No. 8, his odds have moved down significantly since the morning line odds were set. While his inexperience cost him in a loss to White Abarrio in the Florida Derby, Charge has the makings of a horse that has yet to reach its peak potential and will be a popular bet, especially on exotic Kentucky Derby wagers.
Check out the table below for the best Kentucky Derby odds from BetOnline, one of the best horse racing betting sites.
Kentucky Derby Odds | |||
---|---|---|---|
Epicenter | +500 | +500 | +450 |
Zandon | +500 | +550 | +500 |
Taiba | +700 | +550 | +750 |
Messier | +800 | +600 | +900 |
White Abarrio | +1000 | +1025 | +1150 |
Mo Donegal | +1200 | +1230 | +900 |
Charge It | +1600 | +1415 | +1350 |
Smile Happy | +1600 | +1635 | +1700 |
Cyberknife | +2200 | +1840 | +2000 |
Crown Pride | +2500 | +1500 | +2800 |
Simplification | +2500 | +2600 | +2100 |
Zozos | +2500 | +3120 | +2200 |
Tiz The Bomb | +3300 | +3120 | +2700 |
Classic Causeway | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
Tawny Port | +3300 | +5500 | +3500 |
Barber Road | +3300 | +3700 | +3600 |
Pioneer of Medina | +4000 | +4050 | +3100 |
Summer Is Tomorrow | +6600 | +9000 | +6500 |
Rich Strike | +6600 | +5500 | +6100 |
Happy Jack | +6600 | +7500 | +6000 |
*all Kentucky Derby Odds as of May 06, 2022
Kentucky Derby Prop Bets | Kentucky Derby 2022 Props
At the best offshore betting sites, horse players can bet on more than just the Kentucky Derby 2022 winner. In fact, the best horse racing betting sites offer Kentucky Derby prop bets for every in the field at Churchill Downs. Horse racing fans can bet on the finishing position of select horses, whether there will be a Triple Crown winner in 2022, and which horse will finish in last place in the 2022 Kentucky Derby, among many other selections.
Below, we’ll break down some of the best and most exotic Kentucky Derby prop bets available at BetOnline, one of the top horse racing betting sites.
Brad Cox to Train the Kentucky Derby Winner | Kentucky Derby Prop Bet
Brad Cox has three horses in the Kentucky Derby but none of them enter the Kentucky Derby as contenders to win the race. Cyberknife is the Cox-trained horse with the best Kentucky Derby odds, followed by Zozos and Tawny Port.
BetOnline is offering a Kentucky Derby prop bet for any of Cox’s horses to win the 148th Run for the Roses at +800 odds. For a complete breakdown of this exclusive Kentucky Derby prop bet, check out the odds below.
B H Cox to Train the Winner | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
No | -1200 | |
Yes | +800 |
Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet
Betting on the finishing position is one of the best Kentucky Derby props available for Saturday’s race. Bettors can minimize their risk by narrowing down the field and selecting which horse will have the best finishing position among the group.
BetOnline is offering odds for the best finishing position between Epicenter, Taiba, and Zandon. Epicenter (+150) and Zandon (+170) are closely priced while Taiba (+200) offers some added value for this particular Kentucky Derby prop bet.
For a complete breakdown of the Kentucky Derby odds, scroll down below.
Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
Epicenter | +150 | |
Zandon | +170 | |
Taiba | +200 |
Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet
BetOnline allows horse players to bet on more than just the top Kentucky Derby contenders.
For this next group, bettors can select the horse that will have the best finishing position between Messier (+150), White Abarrio (+170), and Mo Donegal (+200).
Mo Donegal could have a tough time getting out of the gates cleanly from post 1 while Messier has not proven to be a great finisher, which could leave some added value on Florida Derby-winner White Abarrio in this group.
Before you make your Kentucky Derby picks, check out the horse racing odds from BetOnline below.
Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
Messier | +150 | |
White Abarrio | +170 | |
Mo Donegal | +200 |
Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet
In addition to betting on the best Kentucky Derby horses, BetOnline also offers odds for the best finishing position among some of the longshots and sleeper picks too.
A few horses have emerged as potential sleeper picks in the 2022 Kentucky Derby.
Horse racing experts have been all over Charge It, Crown Pride, and Simplification heading into the 148th Run for the Roses on Saturday. At +145, Charge It has the best odds to finish first in the group while Japanese horse Crown Pride is priced competitively at +185 and Simplification has the longest odds at +215.
For a complete breakdown of the finishing position odds from BetOnline, check out the chart below.
Best Finishing Position | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
Charge It | +145 | |
Crown Pride | +185 | |
Simplification | +215 |
Number of Words in Winner’s Name | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet
Every year, the Kentucky Derby attracts new bettors to the sport of kings and the top racebooks have adapted by offering exotic prop bets for Triple Crown races.
One of the most exotic Kentucky Derby prop bets available this year is a wager on the number of words in the winning horse’s name.
The four horses with the best odds to win Kentucky Derby 2022 have just one word in their name, so naturally, BetOnline has one word favored at -240 odds. Meanwhile, the 2022 Kentucky Derby winner to have a name with two words is priced at +165 odds and three words is priced at a whopping +1400 odds.
Among the horses with two words in their name, White Abarrio (+1000) has the best odds to win the Kentucky Derby. Meanwhile, that Tiz the Bomb has the best Kentucky Derby odds among horses with three words in their name.
For the latest Kentucky Derby odds, check out the horse racing prop bets from BetOnline below.
Number of Words in Winner’s Name | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
1 Word | -240 | |
2 Words | +165 | |
3 Words | +1400 |
To Finish Last | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bet
In addition to picking the Kentucky Derby 2022 winner, the best online horse racing sites allow horse players to pick which horse will finish last in the race.
As one might expect, the horses with the longest odds to win the Kentucky Derby also have the shortest odds to finish last in the race. Happy Jack offers strong value at +900 to finish last while pacesetter Summer Is Tomorrow also has +900 odds to fall behind the pace.
Below, we’ll break down the odds to finish last in the Kentucky Derby for every horse at Churchill Downs on Saturday.
Kentucky Derby Horses | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
Happy Jack | +900 | |
Summer Is Tomorrow | +900 | |
Tiz The Bomb | +1000 | |
Pioneer of Medina | +1000 | |
Barber Road | +1000 | |
Classic Causeway | +1000 | |
Tawny Port | +1000 | |
Rich Strike | +1000 | |
Simplification | +1200 | |
Zozos | +1200 | |
Cyberknife | +1400 | |
Crown Pride | +1800 | |
Charge It | +2500 | |
Mo Donegal | +2800 | |
Messier | +3300 | |
White Abarrio | +3300 | |
Taiba | +4000 | |
Epicenter | +6600 | |
Zandon | +6600 |
Will There Be a US Triple Crown Winner in 2022? | Kentucky Derby Prop Bet
No horse can win the Triple Crown without trotting in the winner’s circle at Churchill Downs.
There have been 13 Triple Crown winners in US horse racing history. Justify was the last horse to accomplish the feat after breaking the Curse of Apollo at the Kentucky Derby in 2018. American Pharoah also won the Triple Crown in 2015, but prior to that, there had been no Triple Crown winners since 1978.
This year, BetOnline pegs the chances of a Triple Crown winner at +800 odds.
To get the latest Triple Crown odds, check out the chart below.
Will There Be A Triple Crown Winner? | Triple Crown Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
No | -2000 | |
Yes | +800 |
Will There Be An Enquiry? | Kentucky Derby Prop Bet
An enquiry is an investigation held at the racecourse on a race day after any given race. The review system ensures that a race has been fairly run and that there has not been a potential breach of the rules of horse racing.
In 2021, an enquiry found that Medina Spirit and Bob Baffert violated the horse racing rules, leading to runner-up Mandaloun being crowned the eventual winner.
While Baffert will not be attending the 2022 Kentucky Derby due to suspension, could another enquiry be looming after the race at Churchill Downs on Saturday?
Get the latest enquiry odds and Kentucky Derby props from BetOnline below
Will There Be An Enquiry? | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
No | -4000 | |
Yes | +2000 |
Kentucky Derby Winning Distance | Kentucky Derby 2022 Prop Bets
The best horse racing sites also offer odds on the winning distance at the Kentucky Derby. Horse players can bet on whether the Kentucky Derby will be won by more, less, or exactly one length.
Despite the fact that the 2022 Kentucky Derby has no clear favorite, BetOnline is offering -105 odds for a winning distance of over one length. Under one length has longer odds at +100 while exactly one length has +1000 odds.
For the latest Kentucky Derby winning distance odds, check out the chart below.
Kentucky Derby Winning Distance | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
Over 1 Length | -105 | |
Under 1 Length | +100 | |
Exactly 1 Length | +1000 |
Kentucky Derby Winning Time | Kentucky Derby Prop Bets
The Kentucky Derby winning time has been speeding up in recent years.
BetOnline, one of the best online racebooks, has the Kentucky Derby 2022 winning time set at 2:02:30, which would be a tick slower than each of the last two years. Last year, official Kentucky Derby 2021 winner Mandaloun ran the 1 ¼ mile race in 2:01:02 while Authentic finished in 2:00:61 in 2020.
Since 2012, the Kentucky Derby winning time has been under 2:02:30 just four times (2021, 2020, 2016, and 2012).
Below, we’ll go over the over/under odds for the Kentucky Derby 2022 winning time.
Kentucky Derby Winning Time | Kentucky Derby Odds | Play |
---|---|---|
Over 2:02:30 | -750 | |
Under 2:02:30 | +450 |
RELATED: Jeff Siegel Picks for Kentucky Derby 2022 | Kentucky Derby Expert Picks
Andy Serling Kentucky Derby Picks | Andy Serling Picks for Kentucky Derby 2022
Andy Serling recently released his best bets and Kentucky Derby picks.
Initially, he felt two horses have separated themselves from the rest of the pack. They were the co-favourites of Epicenter (+425) and Zandon (+525).
However, the horses Serling seem to like the most are Messier (+830) and Simplification (+2600).
We’ll break down all of the Andy Serling Kentucky Derby picks and predictions below.
Epicenter (+500) at BetOnline
Serling calls Epicenter “fantastic” in his YouTube report. He really likes the fact he has won four of his last five races, with the only loss coming by a minimal of margins.
Zandon (+525) at MyBookie
Serling really likes Zandon’s ability to race through traffic and make the necessary adjustments during a race. His ability to get through to the finish line first when facing the challenges of adversity is very significant indeed. One area where Siegel is concerned about Zandon is his lack of speed out of the gate. If this happens to be a fast race at the beginning, the advantage could go to Epicenter.
RELATED: Michelle Yu Kentucky Derby Picks 2022 | Kentucky Derby Expert Picks
Taiba (+925) at MyBookie
Serling really likes Taiba’s talent. He states “he is an immensely talented three-year-old colt,” and could benefit by the fact that Mike Smith will be riding him. What has Smith done at Churchill Downs in the past? Remember, he was the rider of Justify, when the horse won the Triple Crown in 2018. Smith also rode Giacomo to a Kentucky Derby win in 2005, when this horse was initially a 50-1 long shot.
Messier (+1000) at BetOnline
Even though Messier was well back of Taiba at the Santa Anita Derby, the fact that he did “a lot of dirty work” actually impressed Serling. There is no doubt that the former NHL great and Hockey Hall of Famer Mark Messier would be proud of Serling’s analysis, because he himself showed grit in the corners when required.
RELATED: Comparing Kentucky Derby Odds From The Best Horse Racing Betting Sites
Cyberknife (+2200) at BetOnline
Serling thinks Cyberknife is a “good horse”, but not sure if he is “good enough” to pull out the win at the Kentucky Derby. You cannot ignore the horse’s performance at the Arkansas Derby, where he won by 2 3/4 lengths. However, the overall talent at the Arkansas Derby did not impress Serling much, and he believes you cannot look at the results from this race too much in determining a Kentucky Derby winner.
Simplification (+2600) at MyBookie
For some reason Serling is a big fan of Simplification, who he has finishing second. Simplification is not on most people’s radar, but neither was Giocomo 17 years ago either.
RELATED: List Of Kentucky Derby Winners
Placing A Bet On Kentucky Derby 2022? Check Out Our Kentucky Derby Betting Guides:
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