Horse racing expert David Aragona released his Belmont Stakes 2022 picks. Get all of the David Aragona picks for the Belmont Stakes today below.
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David Aragona Picks: Bet on We The People (+200) To Win Belmont Stakes 2022
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David Aragona is an analyst and handicapper for the New York Racing Association. In addition to the NYRA, he also contributes to timeformus.com.
Let’s go over the top there horses that Aragona likes the most for the 2022 Belmont Stakes.
- We The People (+250) at MyBookie
- Nest (+800) at MyBookie
- Creative Minister (+650) at MyBookie
Live coverage begins at 3 p.m. ET on CNBC. The final 2022 Belmont Stakes race can be watched live on NBC, Peacock and the NBC Sports app. The post time is 6:49 p.m. ET on NBC. Keep reading for David Aragona’s Belmont Stakes picks and where to find the best Belmont Stakes odds for each horse at Belmont Park.
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Belmont Stakes 2022 Odds | Odds to Win Belmont Stakes 2022
The third and final Triple Crown race of the year, the Belmont Stakes will take place at Belmont Park on Saturday, June 11.
After skipping the Preakness, Kentucky Derby 2022 winner Rich Strike is among the horses in the field at Belmont Park but won’t be the favorite to win the 2022 Belmont Stakes.
Instead, Mo Donegal (+265), who had a strong race but did not finish in the top-3 at the Kentucky Derby, comes in with some of the best odds to win the Belmont Stakes in 2022. However, early money has poured in on We The People (+250), who is now the morning line favorite following the post position draw.
We the People will have the advantage of being on the rail at Belmont Park after drawing post 1 while Mo Donegal has a less favorable position on the outside with post 6.
Despite being the favorite, the horse won’t have history on his side, as the chalk has not been friendly to bettors at Belmont Park. In fact, only four post-time favorites have won the Belmont Stakes since 1996 (Point Given, Afleet Alex, American Pharaoh and Justify) and 7 of the last 14 (50%) Belmont Stakes winners have started with odds of 11-1 or higher.
After a shocking 80-1 win at the Kentucky Derby, Rich Strike will be trying to prove that he can win away from Churchill Downs. The colt has two first-place finishes at Churchill Downs but is 0-for-6 away from his favorite race track.
The second-biggest longshot to ever win the Kentucky Derby, Rich Strike (+550) will square off against a talented field with some talented new shooters in the Belmont Stakes.
Barber Road (+1200) and Nest (+750) are also among the horses with the best Belmont Stakes odds.
Meanwhile, Creative Minister (+650) will be looking to build on his third-place finish at the 2022 Preakness Stakes. Creative Minister has placed in the top three in all four of his career starts and owns a top Equibase Speed Figure of 108, the highest of any horse in the field.
Only three of the last 35 winners in the Belmont Stakes have led at every call. While wire-to-wire winners aren’t common, Belmont Park is also known to be tough on late closers. Since the course layout changed at Belmont Park in 1926, only five of the 89 winners were more than two lengths behind at the top of the short, 366-yard stretch.
Below, we’ll go over the Belmont Stakes 2022 odds for all of the entries in the $1.5 million, Grade 1 Stakes race at Belmont Park on Saturday night.
Check out the table below for a complete list of Belmont Stakes 2022 odds from BetOnline, one of the best horse racing betting sites.
| Belmont Stakes 2022 Odds |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| We The People | +265 | +200 | +275 |
| Mo Donegal | +250 | +250 | +300 |
| Rich strike | +550 | +400 | +475 |
| Creative Minister | +650 | +750 | +675 |
| Nest | +725 | +600 | +750 |
| Barber Road | +1100 | +1200 | +1300 |
| Skippylongstocking | +2200 | +2200 | +2000 |
| Golden Glider | +2200 | +3300 | +2600 |
Related: Hank Goldberg Belmont Stakes Picks 2022 | Hank Goldberg Belmont Picks
Belmont Stakes 2022 Cheat Sheet: Post Position, Horses, Trainers, Jockeys, Owner, Earnings, Pedigree, and Running Style
The Belmont Stakes post positions are set for the third jewel of the Triple Crown on Saturday.
We The People has emerged as the morning line favorite at Belmont Park after drawing the rail with gate No. 1. One of the only horses in the Belmont Stakes with a lot of early speed, We The People will have a chance for a rare gate-to-wire victory if he can set the pace early.
The first post position has produced a winning horse 24 times in Belmont Stakes history. While the rail appears to give We The People an advantage, 11 of the last 15 betting favorites have failed to reach the winner’s circle in the Triple Crown race at Belmont Park.
Belmont Stakes longshot Skippylongstocking will follow in gate No. 2 while Nest, Rich Strike and Creative Minister should all be able to stay near the front of the pack after drawing posts 3, 4, and 5, respectively.
Trained by Todd Pletcher, Nest is the only filly in the Belmont Stakes but has a pedigree built for the extra distance at Belmont Park. Pletcher will be seeking his fourth win at the Belmont Stakes and his first since winning with another filly, Rags to Riches, in 2007.
Nest won’t be Pletcher’s only horse in the race. Also trained by Pletcher, early betting favorite Mo Donegal slid down the odds board after earning post 6 in Tuesday’s draw.
On the outside, Golden Glider and Barber Road will have a wider trip at Belmont Park. Golden Glider will race out of post 7 while Barber Road will try to use his late closing speed out of gate No. 8.
Below we’ll go over everything that you need to know about the Belmont Stakes horses, including their post position, jockey, trainer, owner, career earnings, past performances, pedigree, and running style.
Check out our Belmont Stakes 2022 cheat sheet below.
| Post Position | Horse | Belmont Stakes Odds | Jockey | Trainer | Owner(s) | Career Record | Career Earnings | Earnings Per Start | Top Equibase Speed Figure | Pedigree & Breeder | Running Style |
| 1 | We The People | +250 | Flavien Pratt | Rodolphe Brisset | WinStar Farm, CMNWLTH, and Siena Farm | 4 starts = (3) wins | (0) 2nd place | (0) 3rd place | $230,250 | $57,563 | 101 | Constitution – Letchworth by Tiznow | Pacesetter |
| 2 | Skippylongstocking | +2500 | Junior Alvarado | Saffie Joseph Jr. | Daniel Alonso | 10 starts = (2) wins | (1) 2nd place | (2) 3rd place | $214,600 | $21,460 | 100 | Exaggerator – Twinkling by War Chant | Closer |
| 3 | Nest | +700 | Jose Ortiz | Todd Pletcher | Repole Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, and Michael House | 6 starts = (4) wins | (1) 2nd place | (1) 3rd place | $850,550 | $141,758 | 106 | Curlin – Marion Ravenwood by A.P. Indy | Stalker |
| 4 | Rich Strike | +550 | Sonny Leon | Eric Reed | RED TR-Racing | 8 starts = (2) wins | (0) 2nd place | (3) 3rd place | $1,971,289 | $246,411 | 106 | Keen Ice – Gold Strike by Smart Strike | Closer |
| 5 | Creative Minister | +650 | Brian Hernandez Jr. | Ken McPeek | Fern Circle Stables, Back Racing, and Magdalena Racing | 4 starts = (2) wins | (1) 2nd place | (1) 3rd place | $322,095 | $80,524 | 108 | Creative Cause – Tamboz by Tapit | Stalker/Closer |
| 6 | Mo Donegal | +250 | Irad Ortiz Jr. | Todd Pletcher | Donegal Racing and Repole Stable | 6 starts = (3) wins | (0) 2nd place | (2) 3rd place | $711,800 | $118,633 | 103 | Uncle Mo – Callingmissbrown by Pulpit | Closer |
| 7 | Golden Glider | +2800 | Dylan Davis | Mark Casse | Gary Barber, Manfred Conrad, and Penny Conrad | 6 starts = (2) wins | (1) 2nd place | (0) 3rd place | $159,122 | $26,250 | 99 | Ghostzapper – Golden Scarf by Orientate | Closer |
| 8 | Barber Road | +1400 | Reylu Gutierrez | John Ortiz | WSS Racing | 9 starts = (2) wins | (4) 2nd place | (1) 3rd place | $655,720 | $72,302 | 100 | Race Day-Encounter by Southern Image | Closer |
Belmont Stakes 2022 Betting Trends | Horse Racing Betting Trends
Before you make your Belmont Stakes picks, there are a few horse racing trends that have earned bettors a substantial profit at Belmont Park.
In particular, the Belmont Stakes has not been very friendly to favorites. In fact, the betting favorite has trotted into the winner’s circle just four times in the last 15 years at Belmont Park.
The 1 ½ mile race has also proven to be a difficult challenge for horses that rely on their closing speed. Only three horses rallied from the back half of the pack to win the Belmont Stakes since 2010.
Kentucky Derby 2022 winner Rich Strike could also have history on his side after skipping the 2022 Preakness. Nine of the last 20 Belmont Stakes winners went directly from Churchill Downs to Belmont Park with no race in between. After racing in the Kentucky Derby, Mo Donegal, Barber Road, and Skippy Longstocking join Rich Strike as the horses that fit the bill for this Belmont betting trend.
Let’s go over some of the best Belmont Stakes betting trends in 2022.
- Since 2010, only three horses (Essential Quality, Sir Winston, and Creator) have rallied from the back half of the pack to win the Belmont Stakes.
- 13 of the last 15 (86.7%) Belmont winners were racing within 4 1/2 lengths of the leader after the opening half-mile.
- 12 of the last 20 (60%) Belmont Stakes winners have run in the Kentucky Derby and 9 of those 12 winners went directly from Churchill Downs to Belmont Park with no race in between.
- 11 of the last 15 (73%) Belmont Stakes favorites have failed to visit the winner’s circle at Belmont Park.
- 7 of the last 14 (50%) Belmont Stakes winners have started with odds of 11-1 or higher.
- Over the last 20 years, only three Preakness Stakes horses (Afleet Alex, American Pharoah, and Justify) have come back to win the Belmont Stakes. All three horses won the Preakness while American Pharoah and Justify swept the Triple Crown.
- Unproven horses have also performed well at the Belmont Stakes. Six of the last 15 winners (40%) had never won a graded stakes race.
RELATED: Belmont Stakes 2022: Odds, Predictions, And Picks
David Aragona Belmont Stakes Picks | David Aragona Horse Racing Picks
Aragona is not just knowledgeable about the three-year olds that will competing in this nostalgic Triple Crown race, but is comfortable in discussing the different races on the undercard schedule as well. Let’s not kid ourselves, it is the final race of the Triple Crown is what “We the People” care about.
Let’s go over Aragona’s picks for the Belmont Stakes today.
We The People (+250) At MyBookie | David Aragona Belmont Stakes Predictions 2022
Aragona is a huge fan of We The People’s speed and is the horse in the field who has the best chance of dictating the speed. He feels if We The People can repeat his excellent performance from Peter Pan, there is no horse in the field that has the chance to contend with him.
Nest (+800) At My Bookie |David Aragona Belmont Stakes Predictions 2022
Aragona believes the filly trained by the great Todd Pletcher has the pedigree to pose a scare to We The People. He does not believe Nest has the same speed as We The People, but has the capability to contend for second spot.
Creative Minister (+650) At MyBookie | David Aragona Belmont Stakes Predictions 2022
Aragona thinks the price is fair to take Creative Minister, but is concerned about the fact the horse is in its third race in five weeks. Will he have enough in the tank to battle We The People? Time will tell.
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