For our NFL Week 11 same game parlay, we’re backing the Miami Dolphins to explode offensively against the Las Vegas Raiders.
NFL Week 11 SGP:
- SGP (+425): Dolphins Over 29.5 Total Points, Dolphins 1st Half Winner, Tua Tagovailoa Over 21.5 Completions, Tyreek Hill Over 92.5 Receiving Yards
*Odds courtesy of BetOnline. Odds are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
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NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlay
SGP (+425): Dolphins Over 29.5 Total Points, Dolphins 1st Half Winner, Tua Tagovailoa Over 21.5 Completions, Tyreek Hill Over 92.5 Receiving Yards
After struggling in a 21-14 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, the Dolphins will look to get things back on track against the Raiders. The Dolphins are 0-3 against teams with winning records. Miami is 6-0 versus everyone else. The Raiders enter the game against the Dolphins at 5-5.
Despite scoring 14 points against the Chiefs, the Dolphins still lead the league in scoring with 31.7 points per game.
The Dolphins point totals in four home games in Miami: 70, 31, 42, and 31. Even though the Raiders only allow 20.5 points per game, Miami is a different beast at home. The Fins will surpass the 29.5 total.
Tua Tagovailoa played arguably his worst game of the season against the Chiefs, completing 21 of 34 passes for 193 yards and one touchdown. Kansas City forced Tagovailoa to have his single worst completion percentage of the year (61.8).
The Raiders defense is not on the level of the Chiefs. Don’t let the last two weeks fool you. The Raiders played Tommy DeVito and Zach Wilson, two of the worst QBs in the NFL.
Tagovailoa is a massive step up in competition for a Raiders’ team that allows 21.60 completions per game. Tagovailoa has completed at least 21 passes in every game this season. The trend continues Sunday as Tua should complete 25+ passes.
Finally, Tyreek Hill’s revenge game against the Chiefs didn’t go to plan. Hill caught eight receptions for 62 yards. It was one of only two games where he didn’t score a touchdown.
Hill’s numbers in Miami compared to the road are staggering. Hill’s receiving yards in four Miami games: 157, 181, 163, and 112. Hill gets to 100+ yards on Sunday.