Name: Clay Guida
Opponent: Jim Miller
Odds: +158 (bet $100 to win $158)
We all wish these two fought a decade or so ago, but nevertheless we’re getting it here in 2019.
Although these two seem like they are in similar places in their career, Miller has turned out to be a sizable favorite, and it doesn’t seem like there’s a good reason for it. Sure, he definitely has an advantage in the submission game, but Guida’s wrestling, especially since joining Alpha Male, should be good enough to negate that. Miller has really never been the type of fighter who comfortably wins fights on his feet. In addition, Guida’s output and movement often steals rounds on judge’s scorecards.
Given these facts and how good Guida has looked since coming back up to 155 lbs, I think this could be a place where the dog cashes fairly easily.
Earnings (based on $100 bet/event): $-1022
Return on Investment: -43%
2018 Record: 18-19 (+26%)
(The MMA Manifesto is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to amazon.com)