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Name: Anthony Rocco Martin
Opponent: Demian Maia
Odds: +174 (bet $100 to win $174)
Writer’s disclaimer: I’ve been burnt a few times betting against the grappling of Demian Maia, so enter this article at your own risk.
In his last four fights, Martin has fought four different heavy, physically strong grapplers, none of which were able to hold him down and most of which were not able to get him down in the first place. Of course, Maia is a whole different animal. He’s perhaps the best jiu jitsu specialist in the UFC now, and perhaps of all-time.
The difference, and the only reason why I can find some hope for Martin, is that Maia has difficulty with fighters who know how to keep the distance. Last time out, when Maia submitted Lyman Good, he was able to get inside easily. Martin fights much longer than good and, since moving up to 170lbs, has been able to repeatedly show that.
Earnings (based on $100 bet/event): $-522
Return on Investment: -29%
2018 Record: 18-19 (+26%)
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